Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 30
  • Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.541.03
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
84
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
108
Passes
64% (190/296)70% (274/390)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.541.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.471.69
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
610
Shots outside the box
103
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
108
Touches in opposition box
1620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
107
Passes
64% (190/296)70% (274/390)
Long passes
25% (16/63)33% (26/80)
Passes in final third
63% (71/112)54% (49/91)
Crosses
11% (2/19)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.02
Throw ins
2240
Fouls
710
Tackles
82% (9/11)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5554
Clearances
3125
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
1.691.47
Goals prevented
0.69-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Whalley S. ,
  • 45+1', Cundy R. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Love D. , Whalley S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Henderson A. 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Matthews D. , Whalley S. (A),
  • 60', Deeming C. , Davison J. ,
  • 66', O'Brien C. , Sass F. ,
  • 66', Henderson A. , Grant C. ,
  • 69', Nurse G. , Martin J. ,
  • 69', Wilson J. , Sherring S. ,
  • 73', Woods J. , Abimbola D. ,
  • 73', Conneely S. , Butterfield L. ,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Thomas J. ,
  • 77', Davison J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
47.9%
Draw
28.2%
Cheltenham Town
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 28.5% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.4% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2)
    3.3
    (3.23)
    3.93
    (3.58)
    6.8%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: Accrington Stanley will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
    • Accrington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cheltenham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Accrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Accrington is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Broom R. (Injury) King T. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0
    28.01.2025 Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town 0:0
    01.10.2024 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    11.02.2023 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 0:0
    17.09.2022 Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town 1:0
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League