Result
3:1
23/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (265/365) | 63% (198/313) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (265/365) | 63% (198/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 27% (17/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (100/144) | 41% (34/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 96% (27/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | -1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Christopherson S. ⚽,
- 20', Studer J. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Brown D. ⚽, Miller A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Wardlow J. ↓, McKenzie A. ↑,
- 57', Meyers K. ↓, Freier S. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Freier S. ⚽, Lincoln C. (A),
- 70', Malone D. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
- 70', Brown D. ↓, Stephenson K. ↑,
- 73', Aulicino J. 🟨,
- 74', Christopherson S. ↓, Dale S. ↑,
- 83', Robers E. ↓, Hawkins E. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Jansen B. ⚽,
- 90+4', Jansen B. ↓, Piazza A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brisbane Roar
35.6% | Draw
26% | Canberra United
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Canberra United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canberra United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brisbane Roar - Canberra United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(2.92) |
3.52 ↓
(3.69) |
2.38 ↑
(2.19) |
9.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Canberra United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Canberra United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Brisbane Roar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:38. (average 1.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Roar won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 2.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Canberra United?
Brisbane Roar has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Canberra United won against Brisbane Roar?
Canberra United has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Canberra United were as follows:
04.01.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Canberra United
1:2
02.11.2024
Canberra United
-
Brisbane Roar
3:2
30.03.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Canberra United
1:2
10.12.2023
Canberra United
-
Brisbane Roar
5:1
25.11.2022
Brisbane Roar
-
Canberra United
1:1
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Latest results of Canberra United
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Canberra W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Adelaide W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Wellington Phoenix W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Perth W | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 17 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16:31 | -15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
