Result
03/05/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Mossin I. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Chances of winning
Brisbane Roar
32.2% | Draw
25.2% | Wellington Phoenix
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↓
(2.95) |
3.63 ↓
(3.85) |
2.14 ↑
(1.99) |
9.4%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 2.
- Brisbane Roar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Wellington's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Brisbane Roar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Roar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Wellington Phoenix?
Brisbane Roar has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Brisbane Roar?
Wellington Phoenix has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
14.03.2026
Wellington Phoenix
-
Brisbane Roar
3:0
03.01.2026
Brisbane Roar
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:2
02.02.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
07.12.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Brisbane Roar
2:1
07.01.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:1
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Canberra W (3) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W (4) | Adelaide W (5) | 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Brisbane Roar W (4) | |
