Montpellier vs Aviron Bayonnais – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
62:22
03/01/2026 at 10:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app

Match Stats

Tries
93
Conversion Goals
72
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
11
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (34 - 10)
  • 3', Vincent A. (Try),
  • 3', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 9', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 17', Banks T. (Try),
  • 17', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 21', Tolofua C. (Try),
  • 29', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
  • 33', Tolofua C. (Try),
  • 38', Spring T. (Try),
  • 39', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Vincent A. (Try),
  • 40', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (28 - 12)
  • 47', Hounkpatin W. 🟨,
  • 48', Spring T. (Try),
  • 55', Cotet P. 🟨,
  • 57', Tolofua C. (Try),
  • 57', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 66', Miotti H. (Try),
  • 66', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 72', Masibaka A. (Try),
  • 72', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 76', Iturria A. (Try),
  • 77', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80', Tauleigne M. (Try),
  • 80+1', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Montpellier
80.6%
Draw
3%
Aviron Bayonnais
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77.7% 3.6% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Montpellier - Aviron Bayonnais Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (1.21)
    30.26
    (26.24)
    5.64
    (5.01)
    8.5%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
    What is the prediction for Montpellier - Aviron Bayonnais?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -6.5, 1st Half - Bayonne (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -14.5 - Bayonne (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bayonne (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 33:20.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2.
    • Montpellier is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bayonne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Montpellier is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 549:435. (average 28.9:22.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 325:182. (average 36.1:20.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Aviron Bayonnais were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Aviron Bayonnais - Montpellier 26:23
    04.01.2025 Montpellier - Aviron Bayonnais 42:10
    28.09.2024 Aviron Bayonnais - Montpellier 28:27
    24.02.2024 Montpellier - Aviron Bayonnais 28:23
    02.12.2023 Aviron Bayonnais - Montpellier 34:19
    Latest results of Montpellier
    28.12.2025 Section Paloise - Montpellier 35:33
    20.12.2025 Montpellier - Castres 33:31
    12.12.2025 Montpellier - Zebre 31:7
    06.12.2025 Black Lion - Montpellier 13:24
    Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain181404730:36567
    2Section Paloise181206558:47755
    3Montpellier181017561:39053
    4Clermont181107596:46751
    5Bordeaux Begles181008591:48350
    6Stade Francais Paris18918513:44849
    7RC Toulonnais18918465:53645
    8Racing 92181017514:55845
    9Castres Olympique18909431:50142
    10Stade Rochelais188010551:48741
    11Lyon18819521:50239
    12Aviron Bayonnais188010467:59536
    13USA Perpignan184014344:51118
    14Montauban181116338:8607

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2