Result
51:24
23/11/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport |
 France | CANAL+ France |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (23 - 10)
- 3', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
- 7', Gracieux M. (Try),
- 8', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
- 10', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
- 17', Ward J. C. 🟨,
- 22', Melikidze G. (Try),
- 22', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
- 28', Nene N. (Try),
- 28', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 35', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (28 - 14)
- 43', Melikidze G. (Try),
- 43', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Ametlla L. (Try),
- 61', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
- 64', Barre L. (Try),
- 64', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Garcia M. (Try),
- 74', Karaba J. (Conversion Goal),
- 78', (Penalty Try),
- 78', Javakhia G. 🟨,
- 80+6', 🟨,
- 80+6', (Try),
- 80+7', (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Stade Français
76.9% | Draw
3.1% | Toulon
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Français has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stade Français's performance.Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (-11%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Français that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stade Français - Toulon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.45) |
29.99 ↑
(18.96) |
4.5 ↑
(3.1) |
5.9%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
What is the prediction for Stade Français - Toulon?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -10.5 - Stade Français (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Stade Français (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:21.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Stade Français is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 329:483. (average 16.5:24.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stade Français won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 210:188. (average 21:18.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Français won against Toulon?
Stade Français has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulon won against Stade Français?
Toulon has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Français - Toulon were as follows:
22.02.2025
Toulon
-
Stade Français
24:6
22.09.2024
Stade Français
-
Toulon
10:14
08.06.2024
Stade Français
-
Toulon
23:20
30.12.2023
Toulon
-
Stade Français
19:5
04.03.2023
Toulon
-
Stade Français
30:9
Latest results of Stade Français
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 730:365 | 67 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 558:477 | 55 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 561:390 | 53 |
| 4 | Clermont | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 596:467 | 51 |
| 5 | Bordeaux Begles | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 591:483 | 50 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 513:448 | 49 |
| 7 | RC Toulonnais | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 465:536 | 45 |
| 8 | Racing 92 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 514:558 | 45 |
| 9 | Castres Olympique | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 431:501 | 42 |
| 10 | Stade Rochelais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 551:487 | 41 |
| 11 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 521:502 | 39 |
| 12 | Aviron Bayonnais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 467:595 | 36 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 344:511 | 18 |
| 14 | Montauban | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 338:860 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
