Kazincbarcikai vs MTK Budapest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NB I. - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.76
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
72% (220/305)85% (502/590)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.76
xG on target (xGOT)
2.650.75
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
411
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1925
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
613
Passes
72% (220/305)85% (502/590)
Long passes
32% (19/60)57% (24/42)
Passes in final third
68% (54/80)73% (158/217)
Crosses
60% (3/5)24% (8/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.32
Throw-ins
1427
Fouls
136
Tackles
67% (8/12)50% (6/12)
Duels won
3846
Clearances
3812
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.752.65
Goals prevented
-0.25-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Kartik B. (Pen),
  • 18', 2 - 0, Ubochioma M. , Eleke B. (A),
  • 45+1', 3 - 0, Slogar M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Nemeth H. , Kovacs P. ,
  • 46', Szeles I. A. , Vitalyos V. ,
  • 46', Polievka R. , Nemeth K. ,
  • 46', Kadar T. , Szepe J. ,
  • 63', Molnar A. 🟨,
  • 63', Sos B. 🟨,
  • 66', Eleke B. , Konyves N. ,
  • 74', Molnar A. , Atrok I. ,
  • 82', Ubochioma M. , Schuszter R. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Nemeth K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kazincbarcikai
43.9%
Draw
28%
MTK Budapest
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 24.4% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 24% 44.4%

Kazincbarcikai - MTK Budapest Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.25
(2.9)
5.49
(3.78)
5.72
(2.11)
-33.5%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kazincbarcikai - MTK Budapest?
  • Users Predictions: MTK Budapest will win (38 of 39 users predict this - 97.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 92.48%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): MTK Budapest will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ NB II. and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kazincbarcikai won 1.
    • Kazincbarcikai is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • MTK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • MTK might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kazincbarcikai won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 1:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kazincbarcikai won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kazincbarcikai - MTK Budapest were as follows:
    22.07.2023 MTK Budapest - Kazincbarcikai 4:0
    14.05.2023 MTK Budapest - Kazincbarcikai 1:0
    27.11.2022 Kazincbarcikai - MTK Budapest 3:3
    Latest results of Kazincbarcikai
    Latest results of MTK Budapest
    28.09.2025 MTK Budapest - Kisvárda 4:0
    13.09.2025 Siofok - MTK Budapest 1:7
    30.08.2025 Ujpest - MTK Budapest 1:2
    24.08.2025 MTK Budapest - Paksi SE 2:3
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gyor18105336:171935
    2Ferencvaros18104435:181734
    3Paks1896339:261333
    4Debrecen1894526:21531
    5Puskas Academy1884624:23128
    6Kisvarda1883722:29-727
    7Zalaegerszegi1866629:26324
    8Ujpest1864827:32-522
    9MTK Budapest1863933:37-421
    10DVTK1846824:30-618
    11Nyiregyhaza18351019:34-1514
    12Kazincbarcika18321317:38-2111

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ NB II.