Result
0:2
20/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (349/446) | 74% (248/337) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (349/446) | 74% (248/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (46/79) | 36% (26/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (58/96) | 64% (87/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.77 | 1.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Lenzser B. ↓, Szekszardi M. ↑,
- 10', Kata M. 🟨,
- 23', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Horvath A. ↑,
- 32', 0 - 1, Szendrei A. ⚽, Papp K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Windecker J. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
- 46', Kadar T. ↓, Varju B. ↑,
- 62', Hahn J. ↓, Toth B. ↑,
- 67', Kata M. ↓, Molnar A. ↑,
- 67', Kerezsi Z. ↓, Atrok I. ↑,
- 70', Bevardi Z. 🟨,
- 75', Armalas V. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
- 78', Bevardi Z. ↓, Tamas O. ↑,
- 78', Szendrei A. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 2, Bode D. ⚽, Toth B. (A),
Chances of winning
MTK Budapest
32.1% | Draw
24.5% | Paksi SE
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
MTK Budapest - Paksi SE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↓
(3) |
3.79 ↓
(3.88) |
2.15 ↑
(2.09) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Paksi SE?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Paks will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - MTK (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. MTK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 1.
- In recent matches, MTK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Paks is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Paks will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:44. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Paksi SE?
MTK Budapest has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against MTK Budapest?
Paksi SE has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Paksi SE were as follows:
06.12.2025
Paksi SE
-
MTK Budapest
3:1
24.08.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
2:3
11.04.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
1:2
07.12.2024
Paksi SE
-
MTK Budapest
4:2
03.12.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
3:1
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Latest results of Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 60:30 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 47:35 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Zalaegerszegi | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 49:40 | 9 | 48 |
| 5 | Paks | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 55:43 | 12 | 47 |
| 6 | Puskas Academy | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 45 |
| 7 | Ujpest | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 47:50 | -3 | 40 |
| 8 | Kisvarda | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 35:46 | -11 | 40 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 44:54 | -10 | 38 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 52:59 | -7 | 36 |
| 11 | DVTK ✔ | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 38:58 | -20 | 28 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika ✔ | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 27:67 | -40 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
Clinched Spots for Teams
DVTK is Relegated to NB II.
Kazincbarcika is Relegated to NB II.
