Result
3:2
07/05/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 46
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Exeter City
41% | Draw
26.1% | Morecambe
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter City's form might have worsened.Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morecambe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+16.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morecambe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Exeter City - Morecambe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(1.72) |
3.61 ↓
(3.7) |
2.86 ↓
(4.39) |
6.1%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Morecambe?
Users Predictions:
Morecambe will win
(59 of 69 users predict this - 85.51%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.2% – 93.82%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Exeter has the most likely position - 15 (35.73%), project points - 55, currently - 53, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Morecambe has the most likely position - 22 (52.84%), project points - 45, currently - 44, a good chance of relegated (80%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1.
- Exeter has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Morecambe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Our prediction for today's Morecambe to win the game is with odds 2.84.
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Exeter won 7 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28-17.
- Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Morecambe?
Exeter City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Exeter City?
Morecambe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Morecambe were as follows:
02.12.2022
Morecambe
-
Exeter City
1:1
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Morecambe
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 50:36 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 53:54 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 17 | Burton | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
