Result
2:2
11/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 43
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 1.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (185/307) | 51% (126/245) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.91 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (185/307) | 51% (126/245) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (28/79) | 26% (22/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (59/117) | 43% (41/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 3.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | 1.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Edwards J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 47', 0 - 1, Cole R. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
- 56', Oseni O. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
- 57', Paterson J. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
- 62', McDonald K. 🟨,
- 62', Watts C. 🟨,
- 63', Bycroft J. 🟨,
- 66', Mendes C. 🟨,
- 67', Mendes C. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
- 67', McDonald K. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 74', Niskanen I. 🟨,
- 77', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Tolaj L. ⚽,
- 80', Edwards J. ↓, MacKenzie J. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Wareham J. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
- 90', 2 - 2, Boateng M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Plymouth Argyle
62.8% | Draw
20.5% | Exeter City
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Argyle's performance.Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Argyle that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Plymouth Argyle - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.67) |
4.64 ↑
(3.75) |
5.6 ↑
(4.44) |
5.9%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Exeter will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Plymouth (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 3.
- Plymouth is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Exeter is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Exeter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Plymouth is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Plymouth: Finn T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ibrahim B.
(Ankle Injury)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Calf Injury)
Ralls J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Doyle-Hayes J.
(Injury)
Fitzwater J.
(Inactive)
Turns E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Sorinola M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Whitworth J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Exeter City?
Plymouth Argyle has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Plymouth Argyle?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Exeter City were as follows:
23.10.2025
Exeter City
-
Plymouth Argyle
2:0
15.04.2023
Exeter City
-
Plymouth Argyle
0:1
31.10.2022
Plymouth Argyle
-
Exeter City
4:2
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
