Result
2:0
29/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 23
- Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (178/280) | 78% (325/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (178/280) | 78% (325/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (19/73) | 36% (24/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (54/109) | 61% (85/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 75% (3/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.07 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Baker-Richardson C. ⚽,
- 40', Driscoll-Glennon A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Mingi J. J. 🟨,
- 53', Lunt O. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
- 53', Rankine D. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
- 54', Powell J. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
- 69', Mingi J. J. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
- 73', Moult L. 🟨,
- 74', Spellman M. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
- 75', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 0, Braybrooke S. ⚽,
- 85', Smith M. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
- 85', Driscoll-Glennon A. ↓, Shephard L. ↑,
- 90+1', Connolly J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Kamwa B. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newport County
28% | Draw
27.8% | Crewe Alexandra
44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Newport County - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↑
(3.2) |
3.36 ↑
(3.25) |
2.12 ↑
(2.12) |
7.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Newport County - Crewe Alexandra?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Crewe Alexandra will win
(14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
- Newport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Crewe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Crewe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tezgel E.
(Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Newport: Garner G.
(Inactive)
Warner J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Demetriou M.
(Inactive)
Golding J.
(Inactive)
Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Newport won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Crewe Alexandra?
Newport County has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Newport County?
Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
10.12.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Newport County
2:2
08.02.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Newport County
0:3
28.09.2024
Newport County
-
Crewe Alexandra
2:1
29.12.2023
Newport County
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:1
15.08.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Newport County
4:2
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 40:26 | 14 | 45 |
| 2 | Swindon | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 3 | Walsall | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 32:21 | 11 | 43 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 44:25 | 19 | 40 |
| 5 | Salford | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | Notts Co | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 36:25 | 11 | 39 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 38 |
| 9 | Fleetwood | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Colchester | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 37:28 | 9 | 33 |
| 11 | Gillingham | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 31:26 | 5 | 32 |
| 12 | Barnet | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 32 |
| 13 | Crewe | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 34:31 | 3 | 32 |
| 14 | Oldham | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 23:18 | 5 | 31 |
| 15 | Grimsby | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 31 |
| 16 | Accrington | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26:26 | 0 | 30 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 29 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 21:37 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Barrow | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 24 |
| 20 | Crawley | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 27:40 | -13 | 19 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21:38 | -17 | 19 |
| 22 | Bristol Rovers | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 18:44 | -26 | 18 |
| 23 | Newport | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 17 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:37 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
