Foggia vs ACR Messina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Play Out - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Total shots
107
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Chiarella M. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Emmausso M. ,
  • 37', Gelli J. 🟨,
  • 44', Luciani P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Chiarella M. , Dell'Aquila F. ,
  • 46', Petrucci D. , De Sena C. ,
  • 63', Tordini M. , Vicario J. ,
  • 67', Tascone S. , Mazzocco D. ,
  • 67', Gala A. , Kiyine S. ,
  • 71', Mazzocco D. 🟨,
  • 75', Luciani P. (Pen),
  • 79', Luciani P. , Costantino R. ,
  • 81', Emmausso M. 🟨,
  • 81', Emmausso M. , Orlando F. ,
  • 84', Salines E. , Camigliano A. ,
  • 85', Kiyine S. 🟨,
  • 87', Lia D. , Pedicillo L. ,
  • 90+7', Costantino R. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Foggia
35.9%
Draw
30.4%
ACR Messina
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 30.6% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 31.2% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Foggia - ACR Messina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.4)
    3.06
    (2.9)
    2.76
    (2.75)
    7.7%
    (12.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 3.
    • Foggia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • ACR Messina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Foggia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:10. (average 1.8:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Foggia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Foggia - ACR Messina were as follows:
    10.05.2025 ACR Messina - Foggia 0:0
    19.04.2025 Foggia - ACR Messina 1:2
    07.12.2024 ACR Messina - Foggia 0:3
    23.03.2024 ACR Messina - Foggia 0:3
    19.11.2023 Foggia - ACR Messina 2:0
    Latest results of Foggia
    10.05.2025 ACR Messina - Foggia 0:0
    27.04.2025 Picerno - Foggia 0:0
    19.04.2025 Foggia - ACR Messina 1:2
    14.04.2025 Crotone - Foggia 3:2
    29.03.2025 Casertana - Foggia 4:0
    Latest results of ACR Messina
    10.05.2025 ACR Messina - Foggia 0:0
    27.04.2025 ACR Messina - Juventus U23 2:1
    19.04.2025 Foggia - ACR Messina 1:2
    06.04.2025 Sorrento - ACR Messina 2:1
    29.03.2025 ACR Messina - Altamura 3:1
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza30226251:183372
    2Brescia30168643:212256
    3Trento301312545:311451
    4Renate30149740:261451
    5Lecco30148835:26950
    6Alcione Milano301461030:181248
    7Cittadella30138936:33347
    8Inter U23301012834:31342
    9Lumezzane3010101033:33040
    10Novara30718531:28339
    11Giana Erminio301091127:30-339
    12Pro Vercelli301151432:42-1038
    13AlbinoLeffe309101139:41-237
    14Ospitaletto307131031:32-134
    15Arzignano30971439:44-534
    16Pergolettese30881429:40-1132
    17Dolomiti Bellunesi30881427:48-2132
    18Virtus Verona303121527:44-1721
    19Pro Patria30391823:54-3118
    20Triestina30761732:44-124

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation