Burgos vs Eibar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
10/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 21
  • Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDSports 6
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDSports 6

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.030.40
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
42
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
23
Passes
79% (403/507)80% (369/464)
Expected goals (xG)
1.030.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.680.69
Total shots
119
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
84
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1111
Passes
79% (403/507)80% (369/464)
Long passes
44% (34/77)39% (24/62)
Passes in final third
58% (77/133)60% (67/112)
Crosses
27% (3/11)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.43
Throw ins
2720
Fouls
1111
Tackles
55% (11/20)63% (15/24)
Duels won
6252
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.690.68
Goals prevented
0.69-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Mollejo V. , Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Cordoba I. , Cordoba A. (A),
  • 71', Madariaga A. , Martinez J. ,
  • 71', Garrido A. , Javier Marton ,
  • 80', Curro , Mejia M. ,
  • 80', Morante I. , Exposito M. ,
  • 82', Rodriguez A. , Alkain X. ,
  • 82', Alvarez S. , Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ,
  • 90', Nino F. , Garcia F. ,
  • 90', Cordoba I. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 90+2', Arrillaga H. , Jair ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/53nvx29k

Chances of winning


Burgos
34.8%
Draw
34.3%
Eibar
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 31.9% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 30.7% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Burgos - Eibar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.72)
    2.73
    (2.94)
    3.02
    (2.78)
    7.2%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Burgos - Eibar?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Eibar will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Burgos (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Burgos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Eibar has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Burgos: Appin K. (Injury) Lizancos A. (Yellow Cards) Mejia M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Eibar: Arbilla A. (Red Card) Ares A. (Injury) Moreno M. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Eibar were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Burgos - Eibar 1:0
    17.05.2025 Eibar - Burgos 1:0
    23.11.2024 Burgos - Eibar 1:0
    10.03.2024 Eibar - Burgos 0:1
    09.09.2023 Burgos - Eibar 1:0
    Latest results of Burgos
    03.01.2026 Córdoba - Burgos 2:0
    21.12.2025 Burgos - Zaragoza 1:1
    18.12.2025 Burgos - Getafe 3:1
    14.12.2025 Almería - Burgos 1:2
    Latest results of Eibar
    02.01.2026 Eibar - Mirandés 2:1
    19.12.2025 Eibar - Valladolid 3:0
    16.12.2025 Eibar - Elche 0:1
    13.12.2025 Córdoba - Eibar 0:0
    07.12.2025 Eibar - Leonesa 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

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