Lecco vs Pro Patria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
37
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
88
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Furrer G. ,
  • 36', Kritta M. 🟨,
  • 41', Di Munno A. 🟨,
  • 43', Zanellato N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mallamo A. , Pellegrino G. ,
  • 46', Di Munno A. , Schiro T. ,
  • 58', Zanellato N. , Bonaiti S. ,
  • 59', Citterio G. , Orfei A. ,
  • 68', Frigerio M. R. , Voltan D. ,
  • 68', Furrer G. , Ndongue F. ,
  • 72', Dimarco C. , Ganz S. ,
  • 83', Rizzo M. , Galeandro A. ,
  • 88', Renelus B. , Bagatti N. ,
  • 90+5', Tanco G. J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lecco
54.4%
Draw
28.1%
Pro Patria
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 26.4% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 25.6% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Lecco - Pro Patria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.62)
    3.31
    (3.51)
    5.31
    (5.71)
    7.5%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lecco - Pro Patria?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Lecco (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Lecco will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lecco will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Lecco (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lecco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lecco is the team to beat.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lecco won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lecco - Pro Patria were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Lecco - Pro Patria 2:1
    12.10.2024 Pro Patria - Lecco 2:1
    08.04.2023 Lecco - Pro Patria 2:1
    04.12.2022 Pro Patria - Lecco 2:0
    Latest results of Lecco
    09.11.2025 Novara - Lecco 1:0
    25.10.2025 Renate - Lecco 0:1
    19.10.2025 Lecco - Brescia 0:1
    12.10.2025 AlbinoLeffe - Lecco 0:1
    Latest results of Pro Patria
    08.11.2025 Pro Patria - Lumezzane 1:1
    03.11.2025 Alcione - Pro Patria 2:0
    26.10.2025 Pro Patria - Ospitaletto 0:0
    19.10.2025 Virtus Verona - Pro Patria 0:1
    12.10.2025 Pro Patria - Brescia 0:2
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza30226251:183372
    2Brescia30168643:212256
    3Trento301312545:311451
    4Renate30149740:261451
    5Lecco30148835:26950
    6Alcione Milano301461030:181248
    7Cittadella30138936:33347
    8Inter U23301012834:31342
    9Lumezzane3010101033:33040
    10Novara30718531:28339
    11Giana Erminio301091127:30-339
    12Pro Vercelli301151432:42-1038
    13AlbinoLeffe309101139:41-237
    14Ospitaletto307131031:32-134
    15Arzignano30971439:44-534
    16Pergolettese30881429:40-1132
    17Dolomiti Bellunesi30881427:48-2132
    18Virtus Verona303121527:44-1721
    19Pro Patria30391823:54-3118
    20Triestina30761732:44-124

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation