Result
Postponed
14/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 22
Chances of winning
Portmany
37.6% | Draw
29.2% | Mercadal
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portmany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portmany's performance.Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mercadal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portmany than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portmany that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mercadal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portmany - Mercadal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(3.2) |
3.09 ↑
(2.95) |
2.73 ↑
(2.21) |
10.6%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portmany won 1.
- Portmany has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mercadal is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mercadal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Portmany won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portmany won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Portmany won against Mercadal?
Portmany has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mercadal won against Portmany?
Mercadal has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portmany - Mercadal were as follows:
04.10.2025
Mercadal
-
Portmany
2:0
22.02.2025
Portmany
-
Mercadal
0:0
16.03.2024
Mercadal
-
Portmany
2:1
29.10.2023
Portmany
-
Mercadal
0:1
02.04.2023
Portmany
-
Mercadal
2:0
Latest results of Portmany
Latest results of Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 67:14 | 53 | 60 |
| 2 | Manacor | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 52:24 | 28 | 60 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 48:19 | 29 | 53 |
| 4 | Llosetense | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Constancia | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32:23 | 9 | 37 |
| 6 | Mercadal | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 28:30 | -2 | 33 |
| 8 | Cardassar | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:38 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Formentera | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 31 |
| 10 | Binissalem | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Santanyi | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 29 |
| 12 | Alcudia | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 29 |
| 13 | Platges de Calvia | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 25 |
| 15 | Portmany | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 18:31 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 19:33 | -14 | 20 |
| 17 | Collerense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 26:47 | -21 | 14 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 21:43 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
