Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Granados D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 75', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Felanitx
29.8% | Draw
40.5% | Mercadal
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felanitx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mercadal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felanitx than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mercadal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Felanitx - Mercadal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↑
(3.04) |
2.6 ↓
(3.01) |
3.54 ↑
(2.24) |
-4.8%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Felanitx won 1.
- Felanitx has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mercadal is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mercadal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mercadal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Felanitx won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Felanitx won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Felanitx won against Mercadal?
Felanitx has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mercadal won against Felanitx?
Mercadal has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Felanitx - Mercadal were as follows:
19.10.2025
Mercadal
-
Felanitx
1:0
03.05.2025
Mercadal
-
Felanitx
7:0
21.12.2024
Felanitx
-
Mercadal
1:1
13.01.2024
Felanitx
-
Mercadal
0:1
Latest results of Felanitx
Latest results of Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 32 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 97:21 | 76 | 80 |
| 2 | Manacor | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 68:34 | 34 | 76 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 66:28 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | Constancia | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 56:28 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | 18 | 54 |
| 6 | Inter Ibiza | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 50 |
| 7 | Formentera | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 46 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 34:51 | -17 | 41 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Santanyi | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40:55 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 37 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 34:58 | -24 | 37 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 37:58 | -21 | 35 |
| 15 | Portmany | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 24:47 | -23 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 39:61 | -22 | 25 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 32 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 27:57 | -30 | 23 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32:66 | -34 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
