São Paulo vs Basquete Cearense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
75:79
04/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: NBB
  • Referee: Donizete Pinheiro R. (Bra)

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5866
Field Goals Made
2727
Field Goals %
46.6%40.9%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3337
2-Point Field Goals Made
2218
2-Point Field Goals %
66.7%48.6%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2529
3-Point Field Goals Made
59
3-Point Field Goals %
20%31%
Free Throws Attempted
2927
Free Throws Made
1616
Free Throws %
55.2%59.3%
Offensive Rebounds
1210
Defensive Rebounds
3125
Total Rebounds
4335
Assists
2215
Blocks
01
Turnovers
2011
Steals
712
Personal Fouls
2527

Chances of winning


São Paulo
66.4%
Basquete Cearense
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Basquete Cearense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basquete Cearense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • São Paulo - Basquete Cearense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.39)

    2.77
    (2.96)
    7.6%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 152.25
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 4.
    • Both teams are in bad shape now.
    • São Paulo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 856:762 (average 85.6:76.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 418:367 (average 83.6:73.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Basquete Cearense were as follows:
    14.11.2024 Basquete Cearense - São Paulo 79:80
    13.01.2024 Basquete Cearense - São Paulo 75:81
    06.11.2023 São Paulo - Basquete Cearense 70:86
    04.02.2023 São Paulo - Basquete Cearense 85:70
    08.12.2022 Basquete Cearense - São Paulo 81:111
    Latest results of São Paulo
    13.02.2025 São Paulo - Unifacisa 68:66
    08.02.2025 Pinheiros - São Paulo 80:71
    25.01.2025 Minas - São Paulo 82:66
    Latest results of Basquete Cearense
    Brazilian NBB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Franca352963176:26980.829
    2Pinheiros362973077:26840.806
    3Minas352783074:28790.771
    4Brasilia362792929:25870.750
    5Flamengo3626103127:28380.722
    6Corinthians Paulista3525102973:27670.714
    7Paulistano3522132918:27340.629
    8Bauru3621152949:28450.583
    9Sao Jose3520152886:28240.571
    10Mogi3519162663:24800.543
    11Unifacisa3518172851:28090.514
    12Uniao Corinthians3518172781:28450.514
    13Caxias do Sul3516192587:26870.457
    14Cruzeiro3511242783:29960.314
    15Rio Claro3611252810:30870.306
    16Botafogo3510252547:28710.286
    17Pato347272474:27130.206
    18Cearense367292762:32060.194
    19Vasco355302467:28250.143
    20Osasco365312737:31960.139

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