Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Bartoli T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 77', 1 - 1, Ambrosini A. ⚽, Ceccaroli L. (A),
Chances of winning
Tre Penne
65.6% | Draw
23.2% | Cosmos
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cosmos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.The ML Model estimate for Tre Penne aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cosmos than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Tre Penne - Cosmos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.47) |
3.9 ↓
(4.2) |
8.09 ↑
(5.6) |
10.5%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 0.
- Tre Penne is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Cosmos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Tre Penne is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Tre Penne will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tre Penne won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tre Penne won against Cosmos?
Tre Penne has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cosmos won against Tre Penne?
Cosmos has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tre Penne - Cosmos were as follows:
17.10.2025
Cosmos
-
Tre Penne
3:0
06.05.2025
Cosmos
-
Tre Penne
1:0
03.05.2025
Tre Penne
-
Cosmos
1:1
09.03.2025
Tre Penne
-
Cosmos
0:2
11.05.2024
Tre Penne
-
Cosmos
0:0
Latest results of Tre Penne
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
