Abha vs Al-Taee – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/12/2025 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha).

Division 1 - Round 13
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	1.05
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
76% (268/351)	73% (241/328)
Yellow Cards
4	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	1.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.52	1.10
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
11	6
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
23	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
10	13
Passes
76% (268/351)	73% (241/328)
Long passes
52% (32/62)	26% (13/50)
Passes in final third
67% (67/100)	51% (40/79)
Crosses
40% (4/10)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.59	0.30
Throw-ins
22	33
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
79% (15/19)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
46	49
Clearances
21	18
Interceptions
8	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
1.10	1.52
Goals prevented
0.10	-1.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Al Mutair M. 🟨,
17', Al Mousa H. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Al Ghamdi F. ⚽, Sow S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Al Mutair M. ↓, Al Quamiri N. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Sow S. ⚽,
54', Al Harthi A. M. 🟨,
63', Al Harthi A. M. ↓, Al Habib H. ↑,
73', Taira A. ↓, Al Daajani N. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Knoll T. ⚽, Al Habib H. (A),
79', Haquin L. 🟨,
83', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Al Sulays H. ↑,
83', Abuyabes M. ↓, Al Manhali S. ↑,
84', Al Hamad F. 🟨,
87', Al Johani S. ↓, Al Alawi A. ↑,
87', Halilovic D. ↓, Al Hamyani A. ↑,
87', Al Hamad F. ↓, Al Saiari M. ↑,
90+4', Al Mutairi M. 🟨,
90+8', Muralha ↓, Asiri W. ↑,
90+9', Al Oufi M. ↓, Al Shammari H. ↑,
90+9', Al Jayzani F. 🟨,
90+9', 3 - 1, Al Mutairi M. ⚽, Al Mousa H. (A),
90+12', Gaari J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Abha
49.4%

Draw
26.3%

Al-Taee
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

23.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22.6%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Abha's form might have worsened.

Al-Taee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Taee's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Taee than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Taee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Abha - Al-Taee Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.56)	3.47 ↓ (3.88)	3.75 ↓ (5.12)	9.6% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Abha - Al-Taee?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Abha will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Al-Taee will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Abha: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Abha (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Taee (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Abha won 1.
Abha is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Al-Taee has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Abha is the team to beat.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Abha won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Abha won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Abha won against Al-Taee?

Abha has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Taee won against Abha?

Al-Taee has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Abha - Al-Taee were as follows:

12.05.2025 Abha - Al-Taee 0:1

12.01.2025 Al-Taee - Abha 2:1

01.03.2024 Abha - Al-Taee 2:0

01.09.2023 Al-Taee - Abha 1:0

16.12.2022 Abha - Al-Taee 2:1

Latest results of Abha

21.12.2025 Jeddah - Abha 1:1 ✺

12.12.2025 Abha - Al-Ula 2:0 ✺

27.11.2025 Abha - Al-Bukayriyah 0:0 ✺

22.11.2025 Al Jubail - Abha 0:3 ✺

09.11.2025 Abha - Al Jandal 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Al-Taee

20.12.2025 Al-Taee - Al-Faisaly 0:4 ✺

12.12.2025 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Taee 1:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Al-Taee - Al-Jabalain 0:0 ✺

21.11.2025 Al-Anwar - Al-Taee 0:2 ✺

07.11.2025 Al-Taee - Al-Wahda Mecca 1:2 ✺

Saudi Division 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Abha	28	22	5	1	59:22	37	71
2	Al Diriyah	28	19	5	4	68:28	40	62
3	Al-Ula	28	16	7	5	60:28	32	55
4	Al-Faisaly	28	14	10	4	56:33	23	52
5	Al Orubah	28	15	5	8	44:35	9	50
6	Al Jabalain	28	14	7	7	49:34	15	49
7	Al Raed	28	12	9	7	52:37	15	45
8	Al Zulfi	28	10	9	9	38:35	3	39
9	Al Taee	28	10	8	10	41:39	2	38
10	Al Bukiryah	28	11	4	13	30:40	-10	37
11	Al Anwar	28	8	11	9	42:41	1	35
12	Jeddah	28	8	10	10	30:39	-9	34
13	Al Wehda	28	9	6	13	42:51	-9	33
14	Al Jandal	28	7	8	13	26:48	-22	29
15	Al Adalah	28	3	9	16	34:63	-29	18
16	Al Arabi	28	4	4	20	14:51	-37	16
17	Al Batin	28	3	6	19	29:57	-28	15
18	Al Jubail	28	3	5	20	24:57	-33	14

      Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
      Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
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