Result
1:2
03/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 2.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (276/353) | 78% (287/366) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 2.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (276/353) | 78% (287/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (44/72) | 42% (27/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (62/93) | 54% (55/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Al Daajani N. ⚽,
- 21', Bin Shuwayii K. 🟨,
- 25', Pinero F. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 2, Sow S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+3', Al Eissa H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Fallatah S. ↓, Kaabi N. ↑,
- 59', Al Eissa H. ↓, Al Barakah I. ↑,
- 69', Al Ghamdi F. 🟨,
- 69', Ibrahim Y. Y. ↓, Al Mousa H. ↑,
- 72', Ousmane Pato 🟨,
- 74', Sow S. 🟨,
- 84', Sharahili R. ↓, Al Akouz S. S. ↑,
- 84', Al Sunaytan I. ↓, Al Malki M. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Ousmane Pato ⚽, Pain C. (A),
- 90+3', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Al Manhali S. ↑,
- 90+3', Muralha ↓, Al Jayzani F. ↑,
- 90+3', Al Mutairi M. ↓, Al Mutairi B. ↑,
- 90+6', Al Akouz S. S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Bukayriyah
16.1% | Draw
24.1% | Abha
59.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Bukayriyah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+1%)
Al-Bukayriyah - Abha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.68 ↑
(5.57) |
3.8 ↑
(3.63) |
1.53 ↓
(1.57) |
9.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
- Al-Bukayriyah is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Abha is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Abha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Abha is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Bukayriyah won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Bukayriyah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Bukayriyah won against Abha?
Al-Bukayriyah has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Abha won against Al-Bukayriyah?
Abha has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Bukayriyah - Abha were as follows:
27.11.2025
Abha
-
Al-Bukayriyah
0:0
11.02.2025
Abha
-
Al-Bukayriyah
1:3
16.09.2024
Al-Bukayriyah
-
Abha
0:1
Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha ✔ | 32 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 63:29 | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 74:33 | 41 | 69 |
| 3 | Al-Faisaly | 32 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 70:32 | 38 | 67 |
| 4 | Al-Ula | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 66:31 | 35 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Orubah ✔ | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54:38 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 57:43 | 14 | 48 |
| 8 | Al Zulfi | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 43 |
| 9 | Al Bukiryah | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 34:43 | -9 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Taee | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 41 |
| 11 | Al Wehda | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 50:56 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 48:49 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Jeddah | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 41:70 | -29 | 27 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 22:60 | -38 | 21 |
| 17 | Al Batin | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 35:64 | -29 | 18 |
| 18 | Al Jubail ✔ | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 28:69 | -41 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Abha is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Saudi Professional League
Al Orubah is Qualified for Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Al Jubail is Relegated to
