Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Arana I. ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 2 - 1, Crespo G. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Portugalete 65.2% | Draw 21.9% | San Ignacio 12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)San Ignacio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Portugalete - San Ignacio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.4 ↓ (1.47) |
4.16 ↑ (3.82) |
7.07 ↑ (6.55) |
9.6% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Portugalete - San Ignacio?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 4.
- Portugalete is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- San Ignacio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Portugalete is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Portugalete will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Portugalete won against San Ignacio?
Portugalete has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Ignacio won against Portugalete?
San Ignacio has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portugalete - San Ignacio were as follows:
21.09.2025
San Ignacio
-
Portugalete
1:1
02.02.2025
San Ignacio
-
Portugalete
0:3
17.03.2024
Portugalete
-
San Ignacio
2:1
29.10.2023
San Ignacio
-
Portugalete
0:3
06.04.2023
San Ignacio
-
Portugalete
0:3
Latest results of Portugalete
Latest results of San Ignacio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 68:28 | 40 | 75 |
| 2 | Leioa | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 48:31 | 17 | 61 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Derio | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 55 |
| 5 | Lagun Onak | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 51:32 | 19 | 54 |
| 6 | Alaves C | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 56:38 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad C | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 46:38 | 8 | 52 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 35:26 | 9 | 52 |
| 9 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 40:40 | 0 | 51 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 53:60 | -7 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31:35 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 39 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 36 |
| 14 | Anorga | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 36:57 | -21 | 34 |
| 15 | Eibar C | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 41:53 | -12 | 33 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 41:56 | -15 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 30:59 | -29 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 25:47 | -22 | 25 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation