Result
1:2
18/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Barron J. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 71', 1 - 2, Fernandez A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
San Ignacio
36.9% | Draw
29.9% | Derio
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Ignacio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
San Ignacio - Derio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.52) |
3.03 ↑
(2.98) |
2.72 ↑
(2.68) |
10.4%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for San Ignacio - Derio?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).
- San Ignacio is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Derio is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Derio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Ignacio won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Ignacio won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has San Ignacio won against Derio?
San Ignacio has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against San Ignacio?
Derio has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Ignacio - Derio were as follows:
07.09.2025
Derio
-
San Ignacio
1:0
05.04.2025
San Ignacio
-
Derio
3:3
23.11.2024
Derio
-
San Ignacio
1:0
10.03.2024
San Ignacio
-
Derio
1:1
Latest results of San Ignacio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 62:23 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Touring KE | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:27 | 15 | 56 |
| 3 | Leioa | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 48:28 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | San Ignacio | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 33:23 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Derio | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:34 | 17 | 47 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 47 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad C | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:35 | -1 | 43 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 48:50 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Anorga | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 13 | Zamudio | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 39:50 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 23:40 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 26:56 | -30 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
