Result
1:5
09/03/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 29
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 43 | 27 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 11 | 36 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (269/387) | 65% (201/310) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 59% (61/103) | 62% (88/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 35% (8/23) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 60% (6/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Pavan N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 5)
- 58', 0 - 1, Barreca A. ⚽,
- 59', 0 - 2, Matino E. (Own goal),
- 60', Casolari F. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 3, Casiraghi D. ⚽, Molina S. (A),
- 63', Casiraghi D. 🟨,
- 64', Palmieri R. 🟨,
- 66', Casiraghi D. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
- 66', Masiello A. ↓, Giorgini A. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 4, Giorgini A. ⚽,
- 72', Odogwu R. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
- 72', Belardinelli L. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 73', Vita A. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
- 73', Okwonkwo O. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 5, Giorgini A. ⚽, Pyyhtia N. (A),
- 79', Barreca A. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
- 84', Pyyhtia N. 🟨,
- 85', Masciangelo E. ↓, Rizza A. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 5, Desogus J. ⚽, Rabbi S. (A),
Chances of winning
Cittadella
35.5% | Draw
33.4% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cittadella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-2%)
Cittadella - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.29) |
2.83 ↓
(3.15) |
3.04 ↓
(3.06) |
6%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cittadella - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Südtirol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Capradossi E.
(Ankle Injury)
Cecchetto A.
(Inactive)
Diaw D.
(Inactive)
Negro S.
(Injury)
Pandolfi L.
(Yellow Cards)
Salvi A.
(Yellow Cards)
Tronchin S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Südtirol: Arrigoni T.
(Broken ankle)
Davi S.
(Injury)
Kurtic J.
(Injury)
Vimercati A.
(Injury)
Zedadka K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 2.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Cittadella has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Cittadella?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cittadella - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
26.12.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Cittadella
1:2
20.04.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Cittadella
0:0
25.11.2023
Cittadella
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:1
13.05.2023
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Cittadella
1:1
18.12.2022
Cittadella
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
0:2
Latest results of Cittadella
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
