Result
6:1
18/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 35
- Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.43 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (393/474) | 64% (145/227) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.43 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.15 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (393/474) | 64% (145/227) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (26/62) | 35% (20/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (80/121) | 58% (48/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 4.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -1.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Valoti M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 20', 1 - 1, Pecorino E. ⚽, Frigerio M. R. (A),
- 23', Zedadka K. 🟥,
- 25', 2 - 1, Di Serio G. ⚽,
- 26', Bandinelli F. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
- 28', Crnigoj D. ↓, Davi S. ↑,
- 30', Merkaj S. 🟨,
- 33', 3 - 1, Beruatto P. ⚽, Valoti M. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Di Serio G. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
- 46', Pecorino E. ↓, Casiraghi D. ↑,
- 46', Martini J. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
- 61', Merkaj S. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
- 70', 4 - 1, Lapadula G. ⚽, Beruatto P. (A),
- 73', 5 - 1, Sernicola L. ⚽,
- 74', Sernicola L. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
- 74', Romano A. ↓, Bellemo A. ↑,
- 77', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Bordon F. ↑,
- 82', 6 - 1, Aurelio G. ⚽, Valoti M. (A),
- 83', Valoti M. ↓, Lorenzelli E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Spezia
41.4% | Draw
29.4% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spezia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Spezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.28) |
3.2 ↑
(3.13) |
3.21 ↑
(3) |
6.1%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Spezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- Spezia is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Südtirol's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Spezia: Cassata F.
(Muscle Injury)
Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Skjellerup L.
(Inactive)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Südtirol: Cragno A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kofler R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Südtirol: Tronchin S.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Spezia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Spezia?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
10.01.2026
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Spezia
2:1
28.02.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Spezia
1:1
24.11.2024
Spezia
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
3:0
09.03.2024
Spezia
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:1
20.08.2023
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Spezia
3:3
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
