Result
2:1
13/05/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 37
- Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
Benevento
38.9% | Draw
28.3% | Modena
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Benevento - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.55) |
3.29 ↑
(3.17) |
2.91 ↑
(2.72) |
5.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Benevento - Modena?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Modena will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 16.4% – 61.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).
- Benevento has the most likely position - 20 (85.59%), project points - 34, currently - 32, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Modena has the most likely position - 12 (26.26%), project points - 48, currently - 45, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has small quality 26, very small importance 1, small match rating 14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Benevento is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Modena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Benevento won against Modena?
Benevento has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Benevento?
Modena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benevento - Modena were as follows:
18.12.2022
Modena
-
Benevento
1:1
Latest results of Benevento
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 52:28 | 24 | 55 |
| 4 | Palermo | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 48:22 | 26 | 54 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 32:32 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Empoli | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Bari | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 28 |
| 18 | Mantova | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 20 | Pescara | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 34:54 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
