Result
3:1
06/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 33
- Referee: Arena A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Italy | LAB Channel |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (180/258) | 81% (323/398) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.90 | 2.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (180/258) | 81% (323/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (24/70) | 36% (15/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (56/90) | 73% (121/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 20% (6/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.36 | 2.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Moncini G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 31', 2 - 0, Adorni D. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Wiafe S. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
- 46', Zampano F. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
- 48', Gliozzi E. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
- 59', Maggiore G. 🟨,
- 62', Artioli F. ↓, Braunoder M. ↑,
- 69', Moncini G. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
- 69', Rao E. ↓, Dorval M. ↑,
- 75', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
- 79', Adorni D. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 0, Cuni M. ⚽, Dorval M. (A),
- 87', Esteves T. ↓, Verreth M. ↑,
- 87', Maggiore G. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
- 88', Gerli F. 🟨,
- 90', 3 - 1, Ambrosino G. ⚽, Beyuku G. (A),
- 90+7', Mantovani V. 🟨,
- 90+7', Massolin Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bari
22.4% | Draw
27.6% | Modena
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Bari have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+2%)
Bari - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.15 ↓
(4.18) |
3.41 ↓
(3.42) |
1.88 ↑
(1.86) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bari - Modena?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Modena will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 23.1% – 88.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Modena has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Modena is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Bari: Bellomo N.
(Red Card)
Burgio R.
(Inactive)
Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Mantovani V.
(Inactive)
Sibilli G.
(Suspended)
Verreth M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Modena: Pyyhtia N.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Modena: Zanimacchia L.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bari won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Modena?
Bari has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Bari?
Modena has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Modena were as follows:
13.09.2025
Modena
-
Bari
3:0
25.04.2025
Bari
-
Modena
1:2
23.08.2024
Modena
-
Bari
2:1
01.04.2024
Modena
-
Bari
1:1
21.10.2023
Bari
-
Modena
1:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
