Al-Nasr vs Dibba Al Fujairah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/09/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai).

UAE League - Round 5
Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv
World	Triller TV+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.67	0.72
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
18	11
Shots on target
7	6
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
11	2
Passes
82% (309/376)	66% (151/228)
Yellow Cards
1	5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67	0.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.96	0.70
Total shots
18	11
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
12	3
Shots outside the Box
6	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
11	2
Touches in opposition box
24	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
19	11
Passes
82% (309/376)	66% (151/228)
Long passes
43% (23/53)	35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
67% (82/123)	30% (17/57)
Crosses
38% (9/24)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	0.64
Throw-ins
15	22
Fouls
11	19
Tackles
64% (7/11)	65% (15/23)
Duels won
51	58
Clearances
27	29
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	6
xGOT faced
0.70	2.96
Goals prevented
-0.30	1.96

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Uchino T. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Glauber ⚽, Agudelo K. (A),
43', Gilmario 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mahdi H. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
46', Uchino T. ↓, Cassama M. ↑,
46', Omer R. ↓, Habib Yousuf ↑,
47', Mensah B. 🟨,
50', Cassama M. 🟨,
60', Milivojevic L. ↓, Abdulbasit M. ↑,
60', Azarkan M. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
68', Mierez R. ↓, Doumbia C. ↑,
71', Saymon Cabral ↓, Al Mardi M. ↑,
73', Iago Santos 🟨,
79', Khaled 🟨,
80', Ampofo E. ↓, Al Baloushi K. ↑,
83', Khaled ↓, Badr F. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Meme ⚽, Khamis A. (A),
87', Agudelo K. ↓, Santos J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al-Nasr
68%

Draw
19.6%

Dibba Al Fujairah
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

21.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

20.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nasr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Nasr's performance.

Dibba Al Fujairah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dibba Al Fujairah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nasr that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dibba Al Fujairah than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dibba Al Fujairah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al-Nasr - Dibba Al Fujairah Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.6)	4.88 ↑ (4.4)	7.77 ↑ (4.47)	4.4% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Al-Nasr - Dibba Al Fujairah?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nasr (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Al-Nasr will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 2.
In recent matches, Al-Nasr has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Dibba Al Fujairah has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Al-Nasr is the team to beat.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:13. (average 1.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 2.3:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nasr won against Dibba Al Fujairah?

Al-Nasr has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dibba Al Fujairah won against Al-Nasr?

Dibba Al Fujairah has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nasr - Dibba Al Fujairah were as follows:

24.04.2023 Dibba Al Fujairah - Al-Nasr 2:1

19.12.2022 Al-Nasr - Dibba Al Fujairah 0:1

Latest results of Al-Nasr

20.09.2025 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Al-Jazira - Al-Nasr 0:0 ✺

05.09.2025 Al Bataeh - Al-Nasr 2:3 ✺

30.08.2025 Al-Nasr - Al Bataeh 0:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Al-Nasr - Ajman Club 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Dibba Al Fujairah

20.09.2025 Dibba Al Fujairah - Ittihad Kalba 1:2 ✺

12.09.2025 Al Dhafra - Dibba Al Fujairah 2:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Al-Sharjah - Dibba Al Fujairah 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Dibba Al Fujairah - Al-Sharjah 0:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Dibba Al Fujairah - Al Ain 2:3 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ain	5	4	1	0	10:4	6	13
2	Al Wahda	5	3	2	0	8:2	6	11
3	Ittihad Kalba	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10
4	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	5	3	1	1	4:1	3	10
5	Al Wasl	5	3	1	1	7:5	2	10
6	Al Dhafra	5	3	0	2	10:10	0	9
7	Ajman	5	3	0	2	3:3	0	9
8	Al Nasr	5	2	2	1	3:2	1	8
9	Al Jazira	5	2	1	2	7:4	3	7
10	Al Sharjah	5	1	1	3	6:7	-1	4
11	Khorfakkan	5	1	1	3	8:13	-5	4
12	Al Bataeh	5	1	0	4	4:8	-4	3
13	Dibba Al Fujairah	5	0	1	4	6:11	-5	1
14	Bani Yas	5	0	0	5	0:9	-9	0

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1