Al Ain vs Al-Nasr – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium (Al Ain).

UAE League - Round 16
Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	ADtv
World	Triller TV+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.87	1.63
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
5	4
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
9	7
Passes
77% (251/324)	80% (253/318)
Yellow cards
1	4
Red cards
2	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.87	1.63
xG on target (xGOT)
2.60	1.32
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked shots
2	4
Shots inside the box
8	7
Shots outside the box
5	7
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
9	7
Touches in opposition box
22	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
10	19
Passes
77% (251/324)	80% (253/318)
Long passes
41% (20/49)	38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
69% (66/96)	71% (62/87)
Crosses
30% (8/27)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.82	0.52
Throw ins
25	16
Fouls
19	10
Tackles
92% (11/12)	88% (7/8)
Duels won
40	41
Clearances
20	37
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.32	2.60
Goals prevented
0.32	1.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Ghayedi M. ⚽,
32', Rodrigues R. 🟨,
40', Faiz I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ndiaye M. ↓, Saatci S. ↑,
60', Kaku 🟥,
64', Erik Menezes ↓, Al Baloushi M. ↑,
64', Niang A. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
64', Shambih A. 🟨,
65', Al Zaabi Z. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Palacios M. ⚽,
68', Faiz I. ↓, Mahdi H. ↑,
68', Ghayedi M. ↓, Doumbia C. ↑,
79', Al Zaabi Z. ↓, Al Somhi S. ↑,
82', Glauber 🟨,
84', Petrovic D. ↓, Felipe Motta ↑,
90+2', Rabia R. 🟥,
90+6', Laba K. ↓, Sut A. ↑,
90+9', Rahimi S. ↓, Rahimi E. H. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al Ain
71.2%

Draw
18.1%

Al-Nasr
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

20.4%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

19.4%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Ain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Ain's performance.

Al-Nasr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Al Ain - Al-Nasr Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.43)	5.11 ↑ (4.55)	8.63 ↑ (6.41)	8% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Al Ain - Al-Nasr?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al Ain will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Al Ain (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Ain will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Ain (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ain won 3.
Al Ain is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Al-Nasr's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Al Ain may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Al Ain has had a series of away games.
In this match, Al Ain is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Al Ain will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Ain won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Ain won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.7:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Al Ain won against Al-Nasr?

Al Ain has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nasr won against Al Ain?

Al-Nasr has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ain - Al-Nasr were as follows:

28.12.2025 Al-Nasr - Al Ain 2:2

13.12.2025 Al Ain - Al-Nasr 0:2

05.12.2025 Al-Nasr - Al Ain 0:3

23.05.2025 Al-Nasr - Al Ain 0:2

21.01.2025 Al Ain - Al-Nasr 4:1

Latest results of Al Ain

10.02.2026 Sitra - Al Ain 0:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Al-Jazira - Al Ain 0:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Dibba Al Fujairah - Al Ain 0:3 ✺

27.01.2026 Ittihad Kalba - Al Ain 1:3 ✺

17.01.2026 Al Ain - Al-Wahda 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Al-Nasr

05.02.2026 Al-Nasr - Al Wasl 1:1 ✺

29.01.2026 Al-Nasr - Bani Yas 0:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr 0:0 ✺

06.01.2026 Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah 2:4 ✺

02.01.2026 Bani Yas - Al-Nasr 1:2 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ain	23	18	5	0	48:18	30	59
2	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	23	16	5	2	55:14	41	53
3	Al Jazira	23	12	4	7	40:26	14	40
4	Al Wasl	23	11	6	6	32:25	7	39
5	Al Wahda	23	10	9	4	35:21	14	39
6	Al Nasr	23	8	10	5	31:29	2	34
7	Ajman	23	8	3	12	22:31	-9	27
8	Khorfakkan	23	6	7	10	33:41	-8	25
9	Bani Yas	23	7	4	12	24:35	-11	25
10	Al Sharjah	23	7	4	12	32:41	-9	25
11	Ittihad Kalba	23	5	8	10	27:41	-14	23
12	Al Bataeh	23	4	7	12	22:34	-12	19
13	Al Dhafra	23	5	3	15	25:45	-20	18
14	Dibba Al Fujairah	23	4	5	14	23:48	-25	17

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1