Result
0:1
07/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Morelli G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Pennarossa
37.8% | Draw
28.2% | AC Libertas
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Pennarossa - AC Libertas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.26) |
3.2 ↓
(3.65) |
2.65 ↑
(2.64) |
11%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 0.
- Pennarossa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- AC Libertas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.3:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.8:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pennarossa won against AC Libertas?
Pennarossa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AC Libertas won against Pennarossa?
AC Libertas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pennarossa - AC Libertas were as follows:
08.11.2025
AC Libertas
-
Pennarossa
2:2
08.03.2025
Pennarossa
-
AC Libertas
1:1
13.01.2024
Pennarossa
-
AC Libertas
1:4
11.04.2023
Pennarossa
-
AC Libertas
0:7
17.12.2022
AC Libertas
-
Pennarossa
3:3
Latest results of Pennarossa
Latest results of AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
