Pennarossa vs Folgore – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
san-marinoSan-marinoSan Marino RTV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Garcia Rufer A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 56', 0 - 2, Raschi J. ,
  • 61', 0 - 3, Raschi J. ,
  • 65', 1 - 3, Pintore M. ,
  • 80', 2 - 3, De Angelis M. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Pennarossa
9.7%
Draw
18.5%
Folgore
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13% 19.7% 67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6% 19% 69.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Pennarossa - Folgore Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.36
    (7)
    4.94
    (4.6)
    1.27
    (1.35)
    9.8%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 0.
    • Pennarossa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Folgore is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Folgore is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1.3:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 2.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pennarossa - Folgore were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Folgore - Pennarossa 3:0
    22.01.2025 Folgore - Pennarossa 2:2
    13.04.2024 Pennarossa - Folgore 2:4
    07.01.2024 Folgore - Pennarossa 8:0
    25.10.2023 Pennarossa - Folgore 2:4
    Latest results of Pennarossa
    14.02.2026 San Giovanni - Pennarossa 3:0
    11.02.2026 Pennarossa - Tre Fiori 0:0
    07.02.2026 Pennarossa - Tre Penne 1:2
    31.01.2026 Pennarossa - Faetano 0:0
    25.01.2026 Virtus - Pennarossa 3:1
    Latest results of Folgore
    15.02.2026 Folgore - Tre Fiori 2:2
    11.02.2026 Folgore - Domagnano 2:1
    08.02.2026 Fiorentino - Folgore 0:4
    31.01.2026 Folgore - Murata 3:2
    27.01.2026 Faetano - Folgore 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Virtus (2)Bye
    2Juvenes/Dogana (9)Libertas (10)1 : 1
    3Folgore (5)Bye
    4ByeDomagnano (6)
    5Tre Penne (3)Bye
    6Cosmos (8)Pennarossa (11)3 : 0
    7La Fiorita (4)Bye
    8ByeFiorentino (7)

    Quarter-finals
    1Virtus (2)Juvenes/Dogana (9)
    2Folgore (5)Domagnano (6)1 : 0
    3Tre Penne (3)Cosmos (8)
    4La Fiorita (4)Fiorentino (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place