Lens vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:0
30/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 20
  • Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
mexicoMexicoFOX One
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV, Setanta Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.140.47
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
32
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
43
Passes
85% (398/471)78% (318/409)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
2.140.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.80
Total shots
158
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
95
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
104
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3116
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1020
Passes
85% (398/471)78% (318/409)
Long passes
59% (29/49)43% (23/54)
Passes in final third
73% (113/155)58% (54/93)
Crosses
28% (7/25)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.740.38
Throw ins
1924
Fouls
2010
Tackles
50% (11/22)47% (8/17)
Duels won
6259
Clearances
2927
Interceptions
1612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.801.24
Goals prevented
0.800.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Aguilar R. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Boufal S. 🟨,
  • 59', Sangante A. ↓, Mosengo D. N. ↑,
  • 69', Boufal S. ↓, Obougou N. ↑,
  • 70', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
  • 75', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
  • 78', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
  • 78', Nego L. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
  • 90+2', Ebonog S. ↓, Quetant K. ↑,
  • 90+3', Zagadou S. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
  • 90+5', Said W. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
  • 90+5', Thauvin F. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
  • 90+7', Antonio K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lens
65.7%		Draw
20.5%		Le Havre
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.4% 19.5% 13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 18.3% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
    •

    Lens - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.45 ↑
    (1.4)    		 4.65 ↓
    (4.84)    		 6.94 ↓
    (7.21)    		 5.1%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lens - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 46 - 79.3%). Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 68.9% – 89.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Lens (1.68) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Le Havre (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 29 high ROI users predict this event. Lens (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 3.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 2.
    • Lens is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Le Havre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Lens is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Lens: Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Guilavogui M. (Yellow Cards) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury) Jhoanner Chavez (Thigh Injury) Masuaku A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Lloris G. (Injury) Samatta A. (Knock) Toure A. (Knee Injury) Youte Kinkoue E. (Health problems) Zagadou S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Khadra R. (Shoulder Injury) Vinette E. K. (Shoulder Injury)
    • We predict that Lens will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lens won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Le Havre were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2
    01.03.2025 Lens - Le Havre 3:4
    12.01.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2
    06.04.2024 Lens - Le Havre 1:1
    20.10.2023 Le Havre - Lens 0:0
    Latest results of Lens
    24.01.2026 Olympique Marseille - Lens 3:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Lens - Auxerre 1:0 ✺
    11.01.2026 Sochaux - Lens 0:3 ✺
    02.01.2026 Toulouse - Lens 0:3 ✺
    19.12.2025 Lens - Feignies Aulnoye 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Le Havre
    24.01.2026 Le Havre - Monaco 0:0 ✺
    18.01.2026 Rennes - Le Havre 1:1 ✺
    04.01.2026 Le Havre - Angers 2:1 ✺
    21.12.2025 Le Havre - Amiens 0:2 ✺
    14.12.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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