Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 18
- Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Albania | SuperSport 6 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, DAZN France, Free, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 5 |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball, VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (329/411) | 78% (339/434) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (329/411) | 78% (339/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (46/76) | 47% (34/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (70/93) | 63% (75/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (19/21) | 83% (19/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Thomasson A. 🟨,
- 24', Diomande S. 🟨,
- 27', Danois K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Akpa C. 🟨,
- 56', Fofana R. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
- 57', Thomasson A. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
- 60', Senaya M. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 0, Said W. ⚽, Sarr M. (A),
- 66', Said W. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
- 66', Abdulhamid S. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
- 76', Danois K. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
- 76', Ahamada N. ↓, Faivre R. ↑,
- 76', Senaya M. ↓, Casimir J. ↑,
- 80', Guilavogui M. 🟨,
- 86', Thauvin F. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
- 88', El Azzouzi O. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
- 88', Namaso D. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lens
63.9% | Draw
22.3% | Auxerre
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-1%)
Lens - Auxerre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.45) |
4.23 ↓
(4.29) |
6.85 ↓
(6.96) |
6.2%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lens - Auxerre?
Users Predictions:
58 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 51 - 87.9%). Auxerre will win (votes: 5 - 8.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 79.5% – 96.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- 1X2, 1st Half - Lens (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Lens (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Lens (1.77) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Auxerre (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 24 - 88.9%). Auxerre (votes: 2 - 7.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3.
- Lens is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Auxerre's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lens is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Lens: Bermont A.
(Knock)
Edouard O.
(Knock)
Gradit J.
(Thigh Injury)
Gurtner R.
(Muscle Injury)
Haidara A.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Jhoanner Chavez
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Matondo R.
(Injury)
Mensah G.
(Yellow Cards)
Owusu E.
(Yellow Cards)
Sierralta F.
(Injury)
Siwe T.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Lens will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lens won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Auxerre?
Lens has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Lens?
Auxerre has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Auxerre were as follows:
04.10.2025
Auxerre
-
Lens
1:2
27.04.2025
Lens
-
Auxerre
0:4
14.12.2024
Auxerre
-
Lens
2:2
03.06.2023
Auxerre
-
Lens
1:3
14.01.2023
Lens
-
Auxerre
1:0
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:34 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
