Result
1:4
18/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 29', 0 - 1, Abouzziane S. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, Labas J. ⚽, Isaraj A. (A),
- 42', 1 - 2, Ben Kacem M. ⚽, Evaristi M. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 3, Abouzziane S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 86', 1 - 4, Pesciarelli M. ⚽, Abouzziane S. (A),
Chances of winning
Murata 12.5% | Draw 16.2% | Fiorentino 71.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Murata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Fiorentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murata than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Murata - Fiorentino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.23 ↑ (5.43) |
5.6 ↓ (5.64) |
1.27 ↓ (1.38) |
10.6% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murata won 2.
- Murata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Fiorentino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Fiorentino is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Fiorentino will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Murata won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Murata won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Murata won against Fiorentino?
Murata has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentino won against Murata?
Fiorentino has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Murata - Fiorentino were as follows:
20.12.2025
Fiorentino
-
Murata
3:0
29.03.2025
Murata
-
Fiorentino
1:0
01.12.2024
Fiorentino
-
Murata
1:0
13.01.2024
Fiorentino
-
Murata
2:1
11.04.2023
Murata
-
Fiorentino
2:1
Latest results of Fiorentino
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Virtus (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Juvenes/Dogana (9) | Libertas (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Folgore (5) | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Domagnano (6) | |
| 5 | Tre Penne (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Cosmos (8) | Pennarossa (11) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | La Fiorita (4) | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Fiorentino (7) | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Virtus (2) | Juvenes/Dogana (9) | |
| 2 | Folgore (5) | Domagnano (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Tre Penne (3) | Cosmos (8) | |
| 4 | La Fiorita (4) | Fiorentino (7) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finalsFinal3rd place