Result
2:0
21/03/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Tolomeo M. ⚽, Bezzini R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 2 - 0, Depaoli F (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Gjyla I. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Pennarossa 58.2% | Draw 20.3% | Murata 21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pennarossa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Murata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pennarossa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murata than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pennarossa - Murata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↓ (1.62) |
4.46 ↓ (5.03) |
4.21 ↑ (3.7) |
10.6% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1.
- Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.
- In this match, Pennarossa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pennarossa won against Murata?
Pennarossa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Murata won against Pennarossa?
Murata has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pennarossa - Murata were as follows:
30.11.2025
Murata
-
Pennarossa
1:2
19.01.2025
Pennarossa
-
Murata
0:4
31.08.2024
Murata
-
Pennarossa
3:0
24.02.2024
Pennarossa
-
Murata
0:3
05.11.2023
Murata
-
Pennarossa
5:0
Latest results of Pennarossa
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Virtus (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Juvenes/Dogana (9) | Libertas (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Folgore (5) | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Domagnano (6) | |
| 5 | Tre Penne (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Cosmos (8) | Pennarossa (11) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | La Fiorita (4) | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Fiorentino (7) | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Virtus (2) | Juvenes/Dogana (9) | |
| 2 | Folgore (5) | Domagnano (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Tre Penne (3) | Cosmos (8) | |
| 4 | La Fiorita (4) | Fiorentino (7) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finalsFinal3rd place