Lincoln City vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One
Result
2:1
22/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 28
  • Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.180.95
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
42
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
25
Passes
69% (226/327)76% (288/379)
Yellow cards
30
Expected goals (xG)
1.180.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.610.99
Total shots
108
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
56
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
918
Passes
69% (226/327)76% (288/379)
Long passes
26% (18/69)25% (13/53)
Passes in final third
50% (53/106)66% (84/127)
Crosses
30% (3/10)19% (7/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.13
Throw ins
3123
Fouls
189
Tackles
62% (8/13)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4757
Clearances
3732
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.990.61
Goals prevented
-0.01-1.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Moylan J. ⚽, Draper F. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 1, Beesley J. ⚽, Armer J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 1, Moylan J. ⚽,
  • 70', Larsson J. ↓, Revan S. ↑,
  • 78', Moylan J. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
  • 78', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
  • 80', Adom K. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
  • 84', Street R. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
  • 85', Hamer T. 🟨,
  • 88', Sibbick T. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
  • 89', Lloyd A. 🟨,
  • 90', Darikwa T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lincoln City
61.3%		Draw
23.1%		Burton Albion
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 24% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 22.2% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
    •

    Lincoln City - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.53 ↓
    (1.58)    		 4.02 ↑
    (3.83)    		 5.91 ↑
    (5.17)    		 7.3%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Burton will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 42% – 87.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Burton (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Lincoln (1.88) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Burton (2.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Lincoln (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 6 - 50%). Burton (votes: 6 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4.
    • Lincoln is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lincoln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lincoln is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Lincoln: Bayliss T. (Inactive) Collins J. (Knee Injury) House B. (Inactive) Jackson A. (Surgery) Thorn O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sraha J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Hartridge A. (Inactive) Webster C. (Injury)
    • We predict that Lincoln will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Burton Albion were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Burton Albion - Lincoln City 0:1
    26.08.2025 Burton Albion - Lincoln City 0:1
    22.02.2025 Lincoln City - Burton Albion 0:1
    10.08.2024 Burton Albion - Lincoln City 2:3
    03.02.2024 Burton Albion - Lincoln City 0:1
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    17.01.2026 Luton Town - Lincoln City 2:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Lincoln City - Peterborough United 5:2 ✺
    01.01.2026 Lincoln City - Huddersfield Town 1:1 ✺
    29.12.2025 Barnsley - Lincoln City 0:2 ✺
    26.12.2025 Stockport County - Lincoln City 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    17.01.2026 Burton Albion - Huddersfield Town 3:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Boreham Wood - Burton Albion 0:5 ✺
    04.01.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Burton Albion 3:0 ✺
    01.01.2026 Reading - Burton Albion 2:0 ✺
    29.12.2025 Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic 0:2 ✺
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two
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