Result
0:2
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 23
- Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (443/532) | 71% (231/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (443/532) | 71% (231/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/61) | 31% (19/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (122/163) | 52% (46/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 37 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 58% (15/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Hamer T. ⚽, Varfolomeev I. (A),
- 18', Earl J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Yoganathan V. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
- 56', Bland J. 🟨,
- 61', Jefferies D. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
- 61', Moylan J. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
- 66', Watson T. ↓, Jalo F. ↑,
- 70', Roberts M. ↓, de Gevigney M. ↑,
- 71', Obikwu J. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 2, Reach A. ⚽,
- 82', Connell L. 🟨,
- 86', McGrandles C. 🟨,
- 86', Hamer T. 🟨,
- 86', Kelly P. 🟨,
- 87', Bland J. ↓, McGoldrick D. ↑,
- 88', Street R. ↓, Ring E. ↑,
- 89', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Lembikisa D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barnsley
35.1% | Draw
27.1% | Lincoln City
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Barnsley - Lincoln City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.5) |
3.48 ↑
(3.38) |
2.45 ↓
(2.52) |
7.2%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Barnsley - Lincoln City?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Lincoln will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 44.9% – 88.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lincoln (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2.
- Barnsley has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lincoln is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Barnsley: Gent G.
(Injury)
Ogbeta N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Injury)
House B.
(Inactive)
Jackson A.
(Inactive)
Thorn O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 1:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Lincoln City?
Barnsley has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Barnsley?
Lincoln City has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Lincoln City were as follows:
09.12.2025
Lincoln City
-
Barnsley
3:1
11.11.2025
Barnsley
-
Lincoln City
0:2
01.03.2025
Barnsley
-
Lincoln City
4:3
17.08.2024
Lincoln City
-
Barnsley
1:2
09.03.2024
Barnsley
-
Lincoln City
1:5
Latest results of Barnsley
Latest results of Lincoln City
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
