Result
1:2
02/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 24
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (389/492) | 75% (247/330) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 57% (50/88) | 67% (78/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 23% (5/22) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 75% (15/20) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Harbottle R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Harbottle R. ↓, Sawyers R. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Kelly J. ⚽,
- 54', Tilley J. 🟨,
- 56', Kelly J. 🟨,
- 61', Hudlin K. ↓, Jephcott L. ↑,
- 77', Whitmore K. ↓, Miley J. ↑,
- 77', Spellman M. ↓, Greaves O. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 2, Sawyers R. ⚽, Kelly J. (A),
- 80', Tilley J. ↓, Furlong J. ↑,
- 84', Stevens M. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
- 90', McLoughlin S. ↓, Jameson K. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Greaves O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Newport County
23.7% | Draw
27.2% | AFC Wimbledon
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Wimbledon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport County that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Newport County - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.95 ↓
(4.67) |
3.44 ↓
(3.95) |
1.92 ↑
(1.66) |
6.4%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Newport County - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 51.5% – 86.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Newport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Newport have a series of guest games.
- In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Newport won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:16 (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against AFC Wimbledon?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Newport County?
AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
03.12.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Newport County
2:2
16.03.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Newport County
0:2
02.09.2023
Newport County
-
AFC Wimbledon
2:2
14.03.2023
Newport County
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:1
26.12.2022
AFC Wimbledon
-
Newport County
1:1
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
