Result
2:1
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.58 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (209/327) | 62% (199/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.58 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.26 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (209/327) | 62% (199/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (26/82) | 23% (18/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (43/87) | 48% (60/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.77 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 3.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | 1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Lewis J. 🟨,
- 45', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Stevens M. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 1, Browne M. ⚽,
- 63', Smith A. 🟨,
- 67', Butterworth D. ↓, Kilkenny G. ↑,
- 68', Westley J. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
- 68', Kirkman B. ↓, Freckleton M. ↑,
- 80', Cotterill J. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,
- 80', Ofoborh N. ↓, Cain J. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),
- 90+1', Maycock C. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
- 90+3', Reeves J. 🟨,
- 90+3', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
28.9% | Draw
28.6% | AFC Wimbledon
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Wimbledon's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(2.65) |
3.26 ↓
(3.35) |
2.23 ↓
(2.51) |
6.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 16.1% – 74.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A.
(Knee Injury)
Hall G.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R.
(Injury)
McGregor J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
Pigott J.
(Inactive)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against AFC Wimbledon?
Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Swindon Town?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
26.12.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Swindon Town
1:1
13.04.2024
Swindon Town
-
AFC Wimbledon
3:2
09.12.2023
AFC Wimbledon
-
Swindon Town
4:0
22.04.2023
AFC Wimbledon
-
Swindon Town
1:5
10.12.2022
Swindon Town
-
AFC Wimbledon
0:0
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | MK Dons ✔ | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 85:44 | 41 | 85 |
| 2 | Bromley ✔ | 45 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 68:45 | 23 | 84 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 81 |
| 4 | Salford | 45 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 80 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 45 | 24 | 7 | 14 | 73:51 | 22 | 79 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 45 | 22 | 11 | 12 | 73:49 | 24 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 45 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 69:55 | 14 | 76 |
| 8 | Swindon | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 69:57 | 12 | 75 |
| 9 | Barnet | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 68:52 | 16 | 73 |
| 10 | Crewe | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 45 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 57:44 | 13 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 55:53 | 2 | 65 |
| 13 | Colchester | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 58:48 | 10 | 63 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 19 | 4 | 22 | 55:64 | -9 | 61 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 56:57 | -1 | 60 |
| 16 | Accrington | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 53 |
| 17 | Cheltenham | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 52:75 | -23 | 52 |
| 18 | Gillingham | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 52:72 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42:68 | -26 | 49 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 53:78 | -25 | 40 |
| 21 | Newport | 45 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 46:76 | -30 | 40 |
| 22 | Crawley | 45 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 39 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 38:66 | -28 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 45 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 44:76 | -32 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
Bromley is Qualified for League One
