Result
18/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | CANAL+ Sport |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
Chances of winning
La Rochelle
77.4% | Draw
3.3% | Bordeaux Bègles
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Rochelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in La Rochelle's performance.Bordeaux Bègles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bordeaux Bègles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Rochelle than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Rochelle that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux Bègles than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bordeaux Bègles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
La Rochelle - Bordeaux Bègles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.19 ↓
(1.45) |
26.49 ↑
(21.35) |
4.85 ↑
(3.03) |
8.4%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
What is the prediction for La Rochelle - Bordeaux Bègles?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Bordeaux Bègles (4.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -8.5 - Bordeaux Bègles (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -10.5 - Bordeaux Bègles (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -12.5 - Bordeaux Bègles (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bordeaux Bègles will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bordeaux Bègles will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 34:22.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Rochelle won 3.
- Recent performances by La Rochelle have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bordeaux Bègles is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- La Rochelle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, La Rochelle has had a series of away games.
- In this match, La Rochelle is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Rochelle won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 512:332. (average 25.6:16.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, La Rochelle won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 294:137. (average 29.4:13.7).
How many head-to-head matches has La Rochelle won against Bordeaux Bègles?
La Rochelle has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bordeaux Bègles won against La Rochelle?
Bordeaux Bègles has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between La Rochelle - Bordeaux Bègles were as follows:
06.09.2025
Bordeaux Bègles
-
La Rochelle
23:18
26.04.2025
Bordeaux Bègles
-
La Rochelle
10:21
20.10.2024
La Rochelle
-
Bordeaux Bègles
32:22
11.05.2024
Bordeaux Bègles
-
La Rochelle
34:14
19.11.2023
La Rochelle
-
Bordeaux Bègles
25:21
Latest results of La Rochelle
Latest results of Bordeaux Bègles
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 20 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 795:438 | 71 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 591:514 | 59 |
| 3 | Stade Francais Paris | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 623:495 | 59 |
| 4 | Bordeaux Begles | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 656:520 | 59 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 610:452 | 57 |
| 6 | Clermont | 20 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 633:551 | 52 |
| 7 | Racing 92 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 583:606 | 50 |
| 8 | Castres Olympique | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 501:570 | 47 |
| 9 | Stade Rochelais | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 586:519 | 45 |
| 10 | Aviron Bayonnais | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 553:636 | 45 |
| 11 | RC Toulonnais | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 512:618 | 45 |
| 12 | Lyon | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 570:551 | 44 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 20 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 408:563 | 23 |
| 14 | Montauban | 20 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 381:969 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
