Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        17/05/2025 at  11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Premier League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  World | FIFA+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 52% | 48% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38',  🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Abera T. 🟨, 
- 66', Asebe A. ↓, Kemal H. ↑, 
- 66', Zeray G. ↓, Mohammed M. ↑, 
- 67',  🟨, 
- 77', 1 - 0, Kemal H. ⚽, 
- 80',  🟨, 
- 84', Kassaye A. 🟨, 
- 85', Asnake A. ↓, Yasin Y. ↑, 
- 88', Dereje Y. ↓, Gebra D. ↑, 
- 90',  🟨, 
- 90+1',  🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Dire Dawa City 33.5%
 | Draw 33.9%
 | Arba Minch 32.6%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Dire Dawa City - Arba Minch Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.72 ↑ (2.63)
 | 2.68 ↓ (2.95)
 | 2.79 ↑ (2.6)
 | 10% (10.4%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 12).
- Recent form of Dire Dawa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Arba Minch has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Arba Minch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dire Dawa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dire Dawa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Dire Dawa City won against Arba Minch?
                    
                    
                        
                            Dire Dawa City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Arba Minch won against Dire Dawa City?
                    
                    
                        
                             Arba Minch has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Dire Dawa City - Arba Minch were as follows:
                                                        
                                29.06.2023 
                                Arba Minch 
                                - 
                                Dire Dawa City 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                16.02.2023 
                                Dire Dawa City 
                                - 
                                Arba Minch 
                                postp.
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Dire Dawa City                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Arba Minch                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Mechal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 | 
| 2 | Ethio Electric | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 | 
| 3 | Fasil Kenema | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 | 
| 4 | Sidama Bunna | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 | 
| 5 | Hawassa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 | 
| 6 | St. George | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 | 
| 7 | Dire Dawa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 | 
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 | 
| 9 | Shire Endaselassie | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 5 | 
| 10 | Ethiopia Bunna | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | 
| 11 | Adama City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 3 | 
| 12 | Arba Menche | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 | 
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 | 
| 14 | Hadiya Hossana | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 | 
| 15 | Ethiopian Insurance | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 | 
| 16 | Sheger Ketema | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 | 
| 17 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 | 
| 18 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 | 
| 19 | Welwalo Adigrat | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 | 
| 20 | Welayta Dicha | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 | 
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