Result
0:2
17/01/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 68', 0 - 1, Gugsa C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+1', 0 - 2, Musiige C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arba Minch
24.4% | Draw
33.8% | Mechal
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Arba Minch - Mechal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.7 ↑
(3.43) |
2.67 ↓
(2.86) |
2.17 ↓
(2.24) |
10.6%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Mechal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Mechal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Arba Minch won against Mechal?
Arba Minch has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mechal won against Arba Minch?
Mechal has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arba Minch - Mechal were as follows:
15.04.2025
Mechal
-
Arba Minch
1:0
29.11.2024
Arba Minch
-
Mechal
1:3
Latest results of Arba Minch
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 55 |
| 2 | Mechal | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 45 |
| 4 | Hawassa | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 43 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 22:17 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 29 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sheger Ketema | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 36 |
| 10 | St. George | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 | Welayta Dicha | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 35 |
| 12 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 35:35 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Welwalo Adigrat | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Hadiya Hossana | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 35 |
| 15 | Ethiopian Insurance | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 24:23 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Adama City | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 34 |
| 17 | Dire Dawa | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 33 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 18:23 | -5 | 30 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 30 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 29 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 21:34 | -13 | 25 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
