Brest vs Monaco, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 15
  • Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.46
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
70% (223/320)82% (383/467)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.22
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1119
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1517
Passes
70% (223/320)82% (383/467)
Long passes
37% (23/62)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
61% (59/96)71% (96/135)
Crosses
20% (2/10)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.04
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1715
Tackles
61% (11/18)63% (5/8)
Duels won
5145
Clearances
2032
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.221.04
Goals prevented
0.220.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Minamino T. 🟨,
  • 27', Caio Henrique 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Doumbia K. ,
  • 32', Labeau Lascary R. , Balde M. ,
  • 44', Doumbia K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Vanderson 🟨,
  • 60', Ajorque L. 🟥,
  • 69', Golovin A. , Idumbo S. ,
  • 69', Coulibaly M. , Pogba P. ,
  • 69', Doumbia K. , Mboup P. ,
  • 77', Minamino T. , Brunner P. ,
  • 77', Camara L. , Michal L. ,
  • 78', Mboup P. 🟨,
  • 83', Chotard J. , Tousart L. ,
  • 83', Del Castillo R. , Dina Ebimbe J. ,
  • 83', Vanderson , Diatta K. ,
  • 90+4', Teze J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Brest
28.1%
Draw
25%
Monaco
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 25.4% 43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 25.5% 42.9%

Brest - Monaco Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.41
(3)
3.81
(3.72)
2.05
(2.19)
4.4%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Brest - Monaco?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Brest (1.42) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Brest (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Brest (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Monaco will win (40 of 47 users predict this - 85.11%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.93%95.29%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Monaco (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Monaco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Brest: Majecki R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Monaco: Balogun F. (Groin Injury) Dier E. (Calf Injury) Fati A. (Muscle Injury) Kehrer T. (Red Card) Mawissa C. (Hamstring Injury) Zakaria D. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Brest: Bourgault J. (Injury) Zogbe L. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Brest won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Monaco were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Brest - Monaco 2:1
    22.11.2024 Monaco - Brest 3:2
    21.04.2024 Brest - Monaco 0:2
    05.11.2023 Monaco - Brest 2:0
    19.02.2023 Brest - Monaco 1:2
    Latest results of Brest
    30.11.2025 Strasbourg - Brest 1:2
    23.11.2025 Brest - Metz 3:2
    02.11.2025 Brest - Lyon 0:0
    29.10.2025 Le Havre - Brest 1:0
    Latest results of Monaco
    26.11.2025 Paphos - Monaco 2:2
    22.11.2025 Rennes - Monaco 4:1
    08.11.2025 Monaco - Lens 1:4
    04.11.2025 Bodø Glimt - Monaco 0:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG20153243:162748
    2Lens20151434:161846
    3Marseille20123546:222439
    4Lyon20123533:201339
    5Lille20102834:30432
    6Rennes2087530:31-131
    7Strasbourg2093833:25830
    8Toulouse2086631:23830
    9Lorient2077627:31-428
    10Monaco2083932:33-127
    11Angers2075821:25-426
    12Brest2065926:33-723
    13Nice20641027:38-1122
    14Paris FC2056926:34-821
    15Le Havre2048816:25-920
    16Nantes20351219:36-1714
    17Auxerre20341314:29-1513
    18Metz20331421:46-2512

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