Result
1:2
04/09/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 3
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2 |
 Austria | Laola1 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5P |
 Brazil | Xsports |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN 4 |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Ligue 1+ |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, FOX Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Paraguay | ESPN 4 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 4, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (687/754) | 84% (294/352) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.47 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (687/754) | 84% (294/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (33/49) | 63% (26/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (176/207) | 64% (41/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 3.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | 2.47 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Marquinhos ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', Vanderson ↓, Teze J. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Nazinho ⚽, Teze J. (A),
- 63', Doue D. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 63', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
- 68', Hernandez L. 🟨,
- 68', Teze J. 🟨,
- 68', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
- 68', Akliouche M. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Idumbo S. ⚽, Golovin A. (A),
- 73', Coulibaly M. ↓, Soubeir A. ↑,
- 73', Brunner P. ↓, Abline M. ↑,
- 76', Ruiz F. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 87', Golovin A. ↓, Benzahra S. ↑,
- 87', Idumbo S. ↓, Mawissa C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paris Saint-Germain
71.8% | Draw
16.2% | Monaco
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.38) |
5.94 ↑
(5.36) |
8.02 ↑
(7.1) |
3.8%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). Monaco will win (votes: 3 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 63.7% – 90.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Monaco (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 - Monaco (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (1.63) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -2.5 - PSG (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 3 - 50%). Monaco (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 2.
- PSG has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Monaco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, PSG has had a series of away games.
- In this match, PSG is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in PSG: Mendes N.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Monaco: Balogun F.
(Injury)
Fati A.
(Calf Injury)
Minamino T.
(Knee Injury)
Salisu M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 42:30. (average 2.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Monaco?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Monaco has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco were as follows:
06.03.2026
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Monaco
1:3
25.02.2026
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Monaco
2:2
17.02.2026
Monaco
-
Paris Saint-Germain
2:3
29.11.2025
Monaco
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:0
07.02.2025
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Monaco
4:1
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | PSG | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
