Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 3
- Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 5 |
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (271/346) | 84% (366/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (271/346) | 84% (366/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (15/43) | 54% (33/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (21/53) | 66% (86/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 24% (7/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Mostafa Mohamed ⚽, Guirassy B. (A),
- 43', Awaziem C. 🟨,
- 43', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Danois K. 🟨,
- 65', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
- 72', Guirassy B. ↓, Abline M. ↑,
- 72', Coquelin F. ↓, Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↑,
- 72', Casimir J. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
- 73', Sierralta F. ↓, El Azzouzi O. ↑,
- 73', Osman I. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
- 84', Mensah G. ↓, Bair T. ↑,
- 87', Benhattab Y. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,
- 87', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 88', El Azzouzi O. 🟨,
- 90+1', Owusu E. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nantes
40.9% | Draw
29.2% | Auxerre
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Nantes - Auxerre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.14) |
3.32 ↓
(3.53) |
3.34 ↓
(3.35) |
2.7%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nantes - Auxerre?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Auxerre will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 19.2% – 59%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 2 - 50%). Auxerre (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2.
- Nantes is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Auxerre is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nantes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nantes: Acapandie M.
(Injury)
Lahdo M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Diomande S.
(Thigh Injury)
Leon D.
(Red Card)
Siwe T.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Auxerre?
Nantes has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Nantes?
Auxerre has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Auxerre were as follows:
10.05.2025
Auxerre
-
Nantes
1:1
25.08.2024
Nantes
-
Auxerre
2:0
16.04.2023
Auxerre
-
Nantes
2:1
01.01.2023
Nantes
-
Auxerre
1:0
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Marseille | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Monaco | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lens | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Angers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Le Havre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Nice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Nantes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Brest | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Metz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
