Result
0:0
07/05/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 34
- Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
Chances of winning
Ajaccio
24.3% | Draw
27.8% | Toulouse
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-4%)
Ajaccio - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.93 ↑
(3.35) |
3.41 ↑
(3.4) |
1.99 ↓
(2.16) |
4.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Toulouse will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 57.5% – 89.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 13).
- Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (55.14%), project points - 26, currently - 22, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Toulouse has the most likely position - 13 (53.89%), project points - 48, currently - 41, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 51, very small importance 0, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1.
- Ajaccio has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Toulouse is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ajaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Toulouse will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Ajaccio: Barreto M.
(Injury)
Cimignani Y.
(Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Healey R.
(Knee Injury)
Nicolaisen R.
(Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 14-26.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Toulouse?
Ajaccio has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Ajaccio?
Toulouse has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Toulouse were as follows:
21.01.2023
Toulouse
-
Ajaccio
2:0
01.01.2023
Toulouse
-
Ajaccio
2:0
Latest results of Ajaccio
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 4 | Lille | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 45:34 | 11 | 50 |
| 5 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 6 | Lyon | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Rennes | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47:40 | 7 | 47 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 39:35 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 23:36 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Nice | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:55 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 23 |
| 17 | Nantes | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 18 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
