Result
4:3
18/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 30
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 3)
- 8', Gudzulic M. 🟨,
- 10', 1 - 0, Victor J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 21', 1 - 1, Pinho P. ⚽, Esajas R. (A),
- 24', 1 - 2, Roberto ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 2, Lumungo R. ⚽, Silva V. (A),
- 30', 2 - 3, Rodrigues A. ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
- 39', 3 - 3, Silva V. ⚽, Lumungo R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Silva V. ↓, Mota ↑,
- 61', 4 - 3, Lumungo R. ⚽, Victor J. (A),
- 66', Esajas R. ↓, Wellington Carvalho ↑,
- 66', Tiago Almeida ↓, Carraca ↑,
- 67', Victor J. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
- 67', Francisco Ramos ↓, Diegao ↑,
- 73', Romero A. ↓, Kiko ↑,
- 78', Rodrigues A. ↓, Kusso D. ↑,
- 80', Lumungo R. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 80', Anilson ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 83', Cunha N. 🟨,
- 87', Rafael ↓, Cardoso G. ↑,
- 90', Reinaldo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
31.1% | Draw
30% | Chaves
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Paços de Ferreira - Chaves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↓
(3.21) |
3.1 ↓
(3.19) |
2.4 ↑
(2.24) |
7.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Chaves?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Chaves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Chaves?
Paços de Ferreira has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Paços de Ferreira?
Chaves has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Chaves were as follows:
07.12.2025
Chaves
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:0
30.03.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Chaves
2:0
02.11.2024
Chaves
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:1
13.05.2023
Chaves
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:0
08.01.2023
Paços de Ferreira
-
Chaves
1:1
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 9 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
