Result
0:2
05/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 15
- Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 3.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (330/420) | 83% (414/499) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 3.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (330/420) | 83% (414/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (49/91) | 49% (35/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (61/94) | 69% (94/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Blokzijl T. 🟨,
- 45+3', Meissen R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Hartjes L. ↓, Schouten L. ↑,
- 46', Meissen R. ↓, Henderikx S. ↑,
- 58', Rente M. 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 1, van Bergen T. ⚽,
- 70', Middendorp S. 🟥,
- 72', Willumsson B. ↓, van der Werff D. ↑,
- 72', de Jonge T. ↓, Land T. ↑,
- 76', Zagre A. ↓, Janssen S. ↑,
- 81', Bergraaf J. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
- 81', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Yoon D. ↑,
- 85', Yoon D. 🟨,
- 88', Taha Y. ↓, Eggens N. ↑,
- 88', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
- 89', Rente M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 0 - 2, Resink S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+5', Schreuders J. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Excelsior
26.3% | Draw
26.8% | Groningen
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior's form might have worsened.Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Excelsior - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↑
(2.78) |
3.54 ↑
(3.38) |
2.03 ↓
(2.46) |
5.2%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Excelsior - Groningen?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Groningen will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 31% – 73.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Groningen (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Excelsior (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 1 - 50%). Groningen (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1.
- In recent matches, Excelsior has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Groningen is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Groningen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Groningen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Excelsior: Nadje C.
(Inactive)
Tielemans M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Groningen: Hernes T.
(Inactive)
van der Laan E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Groningen?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Excelsior?
Groningen has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Groningen were as follows:
16.01.2024
Excelsior
-
Groningen
0:2
25.02.2023
Groningen
-
Excelsior
3:0
08.01.2023
Excelsior
-
Groningen
1:0
Latest results of Excelsior
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV ✔ | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 84:40 | 44 | 74 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62:41 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72:48 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57:37 | 20 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:45 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:49 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 36 |
| 12 | Sittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 44:55 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 40:60 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:51 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Telstar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30:51 | -21 | 25 |
| 18 | Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34:77 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSV is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
