Result
3:2
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 34
- Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (282/386) | 64% (199/313) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (282/386) | 64% (199/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (37/83) | 37% (31/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (79/132) | 53% (81/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Grant J. ⚽, Austerfield J. (A),
- 14', Harris K. 🟨,
- 43', Harris K. ↓, Udoh D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 48', Garbutt L. 🟥,
- 49', Woodburn B. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 1, Hutchinson I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 53', Austerfield J. ↓, Cooper B. ↑,
- 64', Sherring S. ↓, Jude-Boyd A. ↑,
- 64', Davison J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
- 71', Young M. 🟨,
- 73', Graydon R. 🟨,
- 73', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
- 73', Ashley O. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 2, Awe Z. ⚽, Dorrington A. (A),
- 82', Young L. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,
- 82', Tomkinson J. ↓, Deeming C. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 2, Ashfield H. ⚽,
- 88', Thomas J. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
- 90+3', Udoh D. ↓, Woodburn B. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 2, Miller G. ⚽, Deeming C. (A),
Chances of winning
Cheltenham Town
23.1% | Draw
25.5% | Salford City
51.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Cheltenham Town - Salford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.04 ↓
(4.18) |
3.63 ↓
(3.66) |
1.83 ↑
(1.73) |
7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Salford City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Salford will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 45% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Salford (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Salford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Salford is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cheltenham: King T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Salford: Bird J.
(Inactive)
Edwards T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Salford: Cesay K.
(Inactive)
Oluwo A.
(Inactive)
Rose M.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Salford City?
Cheltenham Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Cheltenham Town?
Salford City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Salford City were as follows:
29.08.2025
Salford City
-
Cheltenham Town
1:1
25.01.2025
Cheltenham Town
-
Salford City
2:1
30.11.2024
Salford City
-
Cheltenham Town
2:0
14.09.2024
Salford City
-
Cheltenham Town
2:1
10.01.2023
Cheltenham Town
-
Salford City
3:1
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
Latest results of Salford City
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
