Amiens vs Guingamp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 15
  • Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.582.96
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
89
Passes
84% (359/427)85% (408/480)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.582.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.641.79
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
89
Touches in opposition box
2026
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
84% (359/427)85% (408/480)
Long passes
44% (25/57)43% (21/49)
Passes in final third
76% (74/97)62% (63/101)
Crosses
18% (4/22)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.78
Throw-ins
2416
Fouls
1314
Tackles
59% (10/17)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5055
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.791.64
Goals prevented
-0.210.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Averlant T. , Fofana I. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Mafouta L. (Pen),
  • 33', 1 - 2, Mafouta L. , Gomis D. (A),
  • 36', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
  • 44', Lutin R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Ikia Dimi Y. , Hamache I. ,
  • 62', Hamache I. 🟨,
  • 71', Louiserre D. 🟨,
  • 71', Nair S. 🟨,
  • 77', Lutin R. , Chibozo A. ,
  • 77', Mlakar J. , Nduquidi J. ,
  • 78', Averlant T. , Touho M. ,
  • 81', Hatchi J. , Ott G. ,
  • 82', Kielt S. , Mbemba F. ,
  • 87', Fofana I. 🟨,
  • 88', Sissoko A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Amiens
24.1%
Draw
27.1%
Guingamp
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 26.7% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 25.6% 48.9%

Amiens - Guingamp Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.87
(3.54)
3.47
(3.49)
1.94
(1.99)
6.3%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Amiens - Guingamp?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Guingamp will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Guingamp may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guingamp could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Amiens: Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Lobry V. (Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Mbemba F. (Inactive) Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Elbow Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sidibe K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Amiens: Fofana I. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Guingamp were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Amiens - Guingamp 3:2
    22.11.2024 Guingamp - Amiens 3:0
    06.04.2024 Guingamp - Amiens 0:0
    02.09.2023 Amiens - Guingamp 4:1
    15.04.2023 Guingamp - Amiens 3:1
    Latest results of Amiens
    07.11.2025 Clermont - Amiens 2:1
    01.11.2025 Amiens - Grenoble 2:3
    28.10.2025 Troyes - Amiens 3:1
    25.10.2025 Amiens - Rodez 2:1
    20.10.2025 Nancy - Amiens 0:1
    Latest results of Guingamp
    08.11.2025 Guingamp - Pau 2:2
    31.10.2025 Guingamp - Laval 2:0
    28.10.2025 Grenoble - Guingamp 0:0
    24.10.2025 Guingamp - Clermont 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1594227:141331
    2St Etienne1592433:221129
    3Red Star1584321:15628
    4Reims1574428:20825
    5Montpellier1573517:14324
    6Le Mans1566319:16324
    7Guingamp1565424:25-123
    8Pau FC1565421:23-223
    9Dunkerque1556426:18821
    10Annecy1554617:16119
    11Clermont1546515:19-418
    12Grenoble1545617:20-317
    13Rodez1545615:21-617
    14Laval1536612:16-415
    15Amiens1543819:24-515
    16Nancy1543814:21-715
    17Boulogne1543816:23-715
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National