Auxerre vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 5
  • Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 5, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.85
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
77% (232/302)87% (391/450)
Yellow Cards
16
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.361.00
Total shots
613
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1630
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
2012
Passes
77% (232/302)87% (391/450)
Long passes
42% (28/66)49% (19/39)
Passes in final third
61% (58/95)69% (77/112)
Crosses
23% (3/13)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.351.46
Throw-ins
2112
Fouls
1220
Tackles
46% (12/26)54% (13/24)
Duels won
6953
Clearances
3026
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.000.36
Goals prevented
1.00-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Magri F. (Pen),
  • 35', Mensah G. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Danny Namaso , Sinayoko L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Methalie D. 🟨,
  • 56', Methalie D. , Kamanzi W. ,
  • 56', Edjouma N. , Emersonn ,
  • 63', Restes G. 🟨,
  • 64', Oppegard F. 🟥,
  • 65', Mara S. , Akpa C. ,
  • 70', Nicolaisen R. , Sidibe D. ,
  • 70', Francis A. , Sauer M. ,
  • 82', McKenzie M. 🟨,
  • 82', Gboho Y. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 83', Sidibe D. 🟨,
  • 85', Sinayoko L. , Diousse A. ,
  • 90+4', Casseres C. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Hidalgo S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Auxerre
29%
Draw
29.8%
Toulouse
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 28.3% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 28.9% 35.5%

Auxerre - Toulouse Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.3
(2.68)
3.21
(3.37)
2.35
(2.62)
3.9%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Toulouse will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 29.1%70.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 0.
    • Recent form of Auxerre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Toulouse's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Casimir J. (Red Card) Diomande S. (Thigh Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Neck Injury)
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Messali R. (Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury) Vossah A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Auxerre: Akpa C. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Toulouse were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Auxerre - Toulouse 2:2
    01.12.2024 Toulouse - Auxerre 2:0
    27.05.2023 Toulouse - Auxerre 1:1
    11.01.2023 Auxerre - Toulouse 0:5
    Latest results of Auxerre
    13.09.2025 Auxerre - Monaco 1:2
    30.08.2025 Nantes - Auxerre 1:0
    23.08.2025 Nice - Auxerre 3:1
    17.08.2025 Auxerre - Lorient 1:0
    09.08.2025 Auxerre - Levante 0:2
    Latest results of Toulouse
    14.09.2025 Lille - Toulouse 2:1
    24.08.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:0
    16.08.2025 Nice - Toulouse 0:1
    10.08.2025 Toulouse - Sevilla 1:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1573521:16524
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Toulouse1555521:19220
    10Brest1554620:24-419
    11Angers1554613:17-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Lorient1545619:28-917
    14Paris FC1544721:26-516
    15Le Havre1536613:21-815
    16Auxerre1533911:21-1012
    17Nantes1525813:24-1111
    18Metz15321015:34-1911

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