Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Trinidad J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Diocesano 31.2% | Draw 29.6% | Montijo 39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Diocesano - Montijo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.94 ↑ (2.84) |
3.1 ↑ (2.87) |
2.34 ↓ (2.46) |
9.2% (10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 1.
- Diocesano is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Montijo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Diocesano won against Montijo?
Diocesano has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montijo won against Diocesano?
Montijo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diocesano - Montijo were as follows:
21.09.2025
Montijo
-
Diocesano
1:1
02.03.2025
Montijo
-
Diocesano
1:1
20.10.2024
Diocesano
-
Montijo
2:3
14.05.2023
Montijo
-
Diocesano
1:1
15.01.2023
Diocesano
-
Montijo
3:2
Latest results of Diocesano
Latest results of Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 69:21 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 61:27 | 34 | 68 |
| 3 | Azuaga | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 53:30 | 23 | 62 |
| 4 | Moralo | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 61 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 56 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Puebla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 12 | Llerenense | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 28:55 | -27 | 30 |
| 16 | Diocesano | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29:59 | -30 | 29 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 24:44 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation